TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$131,483,547
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,200,781,395
338,101
Markets across
34,156
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,657
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
$
This event tracks the projected agricultural productivity of corn crops in Wisconsin for the year 2026. The outcome depends on whether official yield measurements surpass specific thresholds, reflecting potential impacts of climate conditions, farming practices, and resource management on crop output.
The event resolves based on the final 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre in Wisconsin, as reported by USDA NASS in its first Crop Production Annual Summary. All markets share the same resolution source and methodology: yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre, with corn silage yield excluded. Once the initial report is published, any subsequent revisions to the data will not alter the market outcome. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from above 180 bu/acre to above 192 bu/acre—and resolves to 'Yes' only if the reported yield exceeds its specific threshold. The structure ensures that all markets are evaluated against the same official data point but differ in the required performance level for a 'Yes' outcome.