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338,101

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Science and Technology
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
polymarket
opinion

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?

Total volume:
$1,354
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$11,066
64%
Open interest:
$1,189N/A

$405

 - Polymarket

$405 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:00h:40m

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of August?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: 10% Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$405

Trade
100%
2%
Yes 99.9¢No 11.1¢
11¢
$413
$15
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$420

Trade
100%
2%
Yes 99.9¢No 20¢
19.9¢
$711
$15
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$480

Trade
97%
12%
Yes 98.8¢No 5¢
3.8¢
$2,301
$150
0%
7%
N/A
4d 40m
active
opinion

480

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
97%
Yes 98.8¢No 5¢
Avg: 3.8¢Max: 3.8¢
polymarket

$375

Trade
95%
3%
Yes 99.9¢No 10¢
9.9¢
$402
$15
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$390

Trade
95%
3%
Yes 99.9¢No 10¢
9.9¢
$410
$15
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$435

Trade
95%
4%
Yes 99¢No 10¢
9¢
$657
$222
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$450

Trade
94%
3%
Yes 99¢No 10.3¢
9.3¢
$660
$222
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$465

Trade
94%
2%
Yes 99¢No 10.7¢
9.7¢
$635
$140
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$495

Trade
93%
43%
Yes 93¢No 33¢
26¢
$556
$75
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$510

Trade
34%
14%
Yes 37¢No 70¢
7¢
$2,396
$55
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$540

Trade
6%
4%
Yes 10.3¢No 99¢
9.3¢
$635
$145
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$555

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 7.3¢No 99¢
6.3¢
$644
$285
0%
0%
N/A
4d 40m
active
polymarket

$525

Trade
N/A
N/A
10.7¢
$646
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 40m
active
opinion

460

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

470

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

490

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This group of markets tracks whether Microsoft's (MSFT) closing stock price will exceed various thresholds by the end of August 2026. Each market has a different price threshold, and resolution depends on the actual closing price on the final trading day of August.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use the same resolution logic: Microsoft's closing price on the final trading day of August 2026 determines outcomes, with Pyth as the primary source and exchange-published prices as a fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD), with fallback to the official closing price from the primary exchange

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Microsoft's closing price on the last trading day of August 2026 is strictly above the listed threshold
  • The market resolves to 'No' if the closing price is equal to or below the threshold
  • If no valid Pyth data exists, the official closing price from the primary exchange is used
  • In case of a stock split or similar corporate action, prices are adjusted proportionally

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading Day: If Microsoft does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of August, the market resolves 50-50
  • Exact Match: If the closing price exactly matches the threshold, the market resolves to 'No'
Timing: Resolution occurs after the market close on the final trading day of August 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.