TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
polymarket

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Aug 13, 2026, 5:15 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$28,053
Volume 24h:
$977
81%
Liquidity:
$8,418
15%
Open interest:
$2,269N/A

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?

64%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 64¢ buys you 156 shares | Odds: 64% Total Payout: $156 | Net Profit: $56 Multiplier: 1.56x | ROI: 56% High Projected APY: 1,126% Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

Trade
64%
10%
Yes 64¢No 37¢
$648
$19,847
3%
170%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

ByteDance

24%
9%
Yes 26¢No 78¢
$410
$3,055
13%
176%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

14%
19%
Yes 13.7¢No 99.5¢
13.2¢
$441
$601
0%
267%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Meta

13%
Yes 13¢No 99.4¢
12.4¢
$389
$262
0%
11%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

KlingAI

5%
Yes 9.4¢No 99.3¢
8.7¢
$428
$463
0%
24%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Pixverse

1%
4%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.4¢
0.5¢
$433
$291
0%
75%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Pika

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.8¢
1.1¢
$573
$354
0%
65%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Luma AI

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$506
$378
0%
59%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$499
$336
0%
46%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Genmo AI

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$529
$328
0%
75%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Kandinsky

0%
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
0.4¢
$530
$315
0%
80%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Runway

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
0.4¢
$455
$313
0%
81%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
$596
$313
0%
71%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Lightricks

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
$508
$312
0%
72%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$577
$316
0%
70%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$460
$331
0%
99%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Pruna

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$437
$236
0%
62%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 17

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".