TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
polymarket

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?

Jul 16, 2026, 10:58 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$30,179
Volume 24h:
$1,670
1,614%
Liquidity:
$15,422
11%
Open interest:
$5,557N/A

OpenAI

 - Polymarket

OpenAI - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:08h:02m

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98.5¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 296% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

OpenAI

Trade
98%
2%
Yes 98.5¢No 1.9¢
0.4¢
$3,787
$20,487
1%
5%
N/A
4d 8h 2m
active
polymarket

Meta

1%
2%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.5¢
0.3¢
$1,562
$1,141
25%
55%
N/A
4d 8h 2m
active
polymarket

Microsoft AI

1%
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.4¢
$1,741
$988
74%
125%
N/A
4d 8h 2m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$1,724
$2,073
7%
10%
N/A
4d 8h 2m
active
polymarket

Black Forest Labs

0%
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
$568
$565
16%
33%
N/A
4d 8h 2m
active
polymarket

Ideogram

0%
2%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$586
$772
24%
53%
N/A
4d 8h 2m
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
0.4¢
$656
$687
7%
19%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
1%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$1,666
$726
12%
25%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
polymarket

Reve

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$752
$596
5%
18%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
polymarket

Luma AI

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$743
$574
26%
46%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$276
$547
14%
31%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
polymarket

Recraft

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$672
$517
8%
24%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
polymarket

Bytedance

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$688
$507
6%
22%
N/A
4d 8h 1m
active
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".