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Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
polymarket

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

Jul 29, 2026, 6:29 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$26,488
Volume 24h:
$2,830
1,390%
Liquidity:
$22,016
14%
Open interest:
$3,656N/A

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:06h:10m

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 531% Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 4.8¢
2.8¢
$764
$9,947
4%
17%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Amazon

1%
1%
Yes 2.1¢No 99.8¢
1.9¢
$946
$747
25%
29%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

1%
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.8¢
1.5¢
$887
$2,140
7%
12%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

StepFun

1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.8¢
1.4¢
$1,018
$776
23%
25%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.8¢
0.9¢
$1,231
$802
23%
26%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
$1,280
$1,112
49%
51%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
$1,211
$1,035
59%
65%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Tencent

1%
Yes No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$831
$778
23%
32%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Meta

1%
1%
Yes No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$1,033
$759
20%
22%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Nvidia

1%
Yes No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$1,128
$723
26%
30%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,030
$744
25%
27%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
$1,095
$536
12%
34%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$962
$852
10%
16%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,169
$781
9%
23%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$973
$758
8%
22%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,145
$755
21%
33%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,210
$695
2%
8%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,039
$695
10%
29%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,024
$661
21%
24%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,222
$604
0%
10%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
polymarket

Thinky

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$817
$589
0%
12%
N/A
4d 6h 10m
active
Total markets: 21

Description

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”