TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
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Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?

Total volume:
$960,001
Volume 24h:
$818,716N/A
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$449,460N/A

Z.ai

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Closed: Aug 26, 6:48 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Z.ai

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No
0.1¢
N/A
$550,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
Yes
predict

Z.ai

100%
8%
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢
N/A
$166,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Safe Superintelligence

1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
0.5¢
N/A
$963
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Safe Superintelligence

0%
2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$16,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
1.4¢
N/A
$4,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$12,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Google

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
0.5¢
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Google

0%
4%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$116,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Cursor

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
N/A
$1,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Cursor

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$8,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Tencent

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$7,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Nvidia

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

xAI

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$7,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

xAI

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Amazon

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Mistral

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

Microsoft

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
predict

StepFun

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
Total markets: 25 of 56

Description

Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation. This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements. A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks. If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”. If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation. This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements. A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks. If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”. If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation. This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements. A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks. If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”. If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.