TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
polymarket
kalshi

Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?

Total volume:
$84,746
Volume 24h:
$4,426
31%
Liquidity:
$14,571
50%
Open interest:
$2,483
0%

Above $275 billion

 - Kalshi

Above $275 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 8, 2026

Time left: 11d:08h:39m

Will Larry Page net worth for August 31, 2026 be above 275 billion?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 152% 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $275 billion

Trade
97%
Yes 97¢No 14¢
11¢
N/A
$3,043
0%
12%
$1,692
1w 4d 8h
active
polymarket

$800-$900B

81%
5%
Yes 82¢No 21¢
$1,566
$16,096
4%
50%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
kalshi

Above $290 billion

69%
Yes 65¢No 68¢
33¢
N/A
$309
0%
6%
$125
1w 4d 8h
active
kalshi

Above $305 billion

37%
Yes 35¢No 94¢
29¢
N/A
$484
0%
15%
$256
1w 4d 8h
active
polymarket

$900B-$1.00T

10%
1%
Yes 10.6¢No 90.6¢
1.2¢
$2,577
$10,352
11%
51%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
polymarket

$700-$800B

6%
1%
Yes No 96¢
$1,516
$14,107
12%
49%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
kalshi

Above $320 billion

3%
Yes No 97¢
N/A
$1,294
0%
40%
$410
1w 4d 8h
active
polymarket

$1.00-$1.10T

2%
Yes 3.2¢No 99¢
2.2¢
$2,458
$9,452
0.53%
63%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
polymarket

$600-$700B

1%
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.4¢
0.9¢
$1,576
$12,055
0.42%
22%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
polymarket

<$600B

1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.7¢
1.1¢
$1,483
$5,544
0.91%
29%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
polymarket

$1.10T+

1%
2%
Yes No 99.7¢
0.7¢
$3,394
$12,010
10%
33%
N/A
4d 8h 8m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group tracks Elon Musk's net worth as reported on August 31, 2026, across multiple bracket markets on Polymarket, and includes unrelated Larry Page net worth thresholds on Kalshi.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Elon Musk markets on Polymarket share a single resolution source and logic, while Kalshi markets for Larry Page are separate and do not affect the Musk group.Primary resolution logic: Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve using the Bloomberg Billionaires Index value for Elon Musk as of August 31, 2026
  • If the value falls exactly between two brackets, resolve to the higher range bracket
  • Kalshi markets for Larry Page resolve independently against their own Bloomberg thresholds and are not part of the Musk event group

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Bracket Boundary: If Musk's net worth is exactly at a bracket boundary (e.g., $700B), the market resolves to the higher bracket
  • Missing Bloomberg Data: If Bloomberg does not publish the August 31, 2026 value, use another credible source as determined by the platform
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Bloomberg Billionaires Index publishes its August 31, 2026 updateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Larry Page's net worth as reported in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for August 31, 2026. Four separate thresholds are defined: above $275 billion, above $290 billion, above $305 billion, and above $320 billion. If his net worth meets or exceeds any of these thresholds on the specified date, the corresponding market resolves to Yes.