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340,805

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Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?
polymarket

Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?

Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM EST - Sep 3, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$24,434
Volume 24h:
$3,406
6%
Liquidity:
$2,950
37%
Open interest:
$12,286N/A

Peru

 - Polymarket

Peru - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 3, 2026

Time left: 07d:02h:31m

Will there be a 6.0+ earthquake in Peru by August 31?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: 5% 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Peru

Trade
99%
4%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.2¢
2.1¢
$1,097
$2,288
35%
323%
N/A
1w 2h
active
polymarket

Japan

98%
2%
Yes 99.8¢No 3.2¢
$1,356
$10,665
5%
1,650%
N/A
1w 2h
active
polymarket

Indonesia

98%
Yes 99.6¢No 3.9¢
3.5¢
$281
$6,436
27%
0%
N/A
1w 2h
disputed
polymarket

Chile

89%
2%
Yes 89¢No 93¢
82¢
$30
$144
0%
0%
N/A
1w 2h
active
polymarket

Philippines

77%
Yes 77¢No 91¢
68¢
$47
$2,824
2%
3%
N/A
1w 2h
active
polymarket

Mexico

19%
Yes 19¢No 94¢
13¢
$22
$445
0%
2%
N/A
1w 2h
active
polymarket

United States

9%
19%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
$118
$1,631
3%
20%
N/A
1w 2h
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No". A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify. If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point. Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered. The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."

Polymarket

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No". A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify. If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point. Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered. The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."