TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$132,305,954

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,208,428,537

337,256

Markets across

34,285

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,306

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
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Tour
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When will oil (WTI) rise above $100?
kalshi

When will oil (WTI) rise above $100?

Jul 21, 2026, 10:00 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$9,475
Volume 24h:
$3N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,569
0%

Before 2027

 - Kalshi

Before 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 2, 2027

Will the WTI front month settle price rise above $100 by Dec 31, 2026?

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 48¢ buys you 208 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $208 | Net Profit: $108 Multiplier: 2.08x | ROI: 108% High Projected APY: 711% 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
50%
Yes 48¢No 59¢
N/A
$678
0%
17%
$393
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before December

45%
Yes 45¢No 65¢
10¢
N/A
$445
0%
17%
$239
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before October

33%
Yes 20¢No 97¢
17¢
N/A
$770
0%
0.52%
$504
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before November

28%
Yes 33¢No 86¢
19¢
N/A
$1,611
0.21%
19%
$744
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before September

2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$2,063
0%
29%
$888
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before August

0%
Yes No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,908
N/A
N/A
$2,801
4mo 1w
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will exceed $100 at any point during the year 2026. The outcome depends on official pricing data reported by ICE over the specified timeframe. It reflects expectations about oil market dynamics influenced by supply, demand, and geopolitical factors.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if, at any time between the issuance date and December 31, 2026, the ICE-reported WTI front-month settle price exceeds $100 on a market day. Multiple sequential time-bound primary rules cover progressively later end-dates from July through December 2026, ensuring that the market will close and resolve no later than the end of 2026. All rules share the same price threshold and data source, with the earliest triggered rule determining the final outcome. The structure provides continuous coverage throughout the year while automatically closing the market once the price threshold is met or the final deadline passes.