TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 24 2026?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 24 2026?

Aug 21, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Aug 28, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$29,046
Volume 24h:
$6,514
27%
Liquidity:
$1,284
88%
Open interest:
$9,899
12%

Above $0.999

 - Kalshi

Above $0.999 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 28, 2026

Time left: 21h:55m:54s

Will the natural gas close price be above 0.999 USD/MMBtu on August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.999

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.099

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.199

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.299

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.399

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.499

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.599

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.699

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.799

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.899

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $1.999

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $2.699

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$749
4%
N/A
$336
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $2.499

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5
0%
N/A
$5
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $2.599

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$111
0%
N/A
$111
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $2.799

Trade
93%
Yes 95¢No 8¢
3¢
N/A
$1,926
16%
N/A
$1,184
21h 55m
active
polymarket

↓ $2.40

Trade
71%
17%
Yes 71.3¢No 99.6¢
70.9¢
$29
$187
19%
N/A
N/A
21h 55m
active
polymarket

↓ $2.60

Trade
70%
96%
Yes 70.4¢No 98.9¢
69.3¢
$4
$1,454
10%
N/A
N/A
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $2.899

Trade
50%
4%
Yes 50¢No 52¢
2¢
N/A
$2,682
66%
N/A
$1,175
21h 55m
active
polymarket

↑ $3.10

Trade
29%
19%
Yes 28.8¢No 98.9¢
27.7¢
$44
$417
129%
N/A
N/A
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $3.099

Trade
1%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$1,570
0%
N/A
$1,570
21h 55m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
15%
Yes 15.9¢No 99¢
Avg: 14.9¢Max: 27.7¢
polymarket

↑ $3.00

Trade
19%
18%
Yes 22¢No 84¢
6¢
$143
$4,196
102%
N/A
N/A
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $2.999

Trade
11%
12%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
2¢
N/A
$336
314%
N/A
$248
21h 55m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
15%
Yes 15.5¢No 88.5¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

↑ $3.20

Trade
3%
96%
Yes 5¢No 98.7¢
3.7¢
$127
$144
0%
N/A
N/A
21h 55m
active
kalshi

Above $3.199

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$2,869
6%
N/A
$2,869
21h 55m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 3.5¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 3.7¢
polymarket

↑ $3.50

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
$17
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
21h 55m
active
Total markets: 25 of 57

Description

This group of markets tracks whether Natural Gas (NG) prices will reach specific thresholds during the week of August 24, 2026. The markets differ in their precise resolution criteria, particularly in how they define a 'hit' and the specific price thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in threshold definition and price source between Kalshi (close price on specific date) and Polymarket (intraday high/low during the week)Hero tip: Trade cautiously due to differing resolution criteria. Kalshi uses closing prices on August 28, 2026, while Polymarket uses intraday highs/lows during the entire week of August 24, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves if the close price of the NGDV6 contract on August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above the specified threshold. Key quote: "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDV6 contract on August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above [X] USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves if, during any trading session of the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond the listed price. Key quote: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 24 2026?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of a 1-minute candlestick for the NGDV6 natural gas contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold price; if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract if the current one nears expiration. Prices are rounded to three decimal places, and the closing price represents the final price of the minute ending at 5:00 PM. If data is unavailable, the most recent published price determines the outcome.