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342,873
Markets across
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above $44.99
- Kalshi
Above $44.99 - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
Latest in Commodities
Time left: 02d:17h:38m
Will the silver close price be above 44.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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Description
This event group tracks whether Silver (XAGUSD) will reach specific price thresholds in September 2026. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with Kalshi focusing on the closing price of a specific candlestick and Polymarket focusing on the high or low price achieved during any trading session.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Scope DifferenceHero tip: Be cautious when trading these markets due to the differing resolution criteria. Kalshi markets resolve on a single data point, while Polymarket markets resolve on any price achievement during the month. This can lead to different outcomes for similar price levels.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: Resolves based on the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT being above specified thresholds. Key Quote: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above [threshold] USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Resolves based on whether Silver (XAGUSD) hits a specified high or low price at any point during a trading session in September 2026. Key Quote: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.
Polymarket
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in September 2026?
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 31, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If the closing price exceeds any specified threshold (from $37.99 to $76.99 USD per troy ounce), the corresponding market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price refers to the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval—for example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution.
