TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?

Total volume:
$1,034,284
Volume 24h:
$104,305
102%
Liquidity:
$222,014
28%
Open interest:
$104,340
0%

↑ $4,700

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:45m

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 44.8¢ buys you 223 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $223 | Net Profit: $123 Multiplier: 2.23x | ROI: 123% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $4,700

Trade
43%
21%
Yes 44.8¢No 58.7¢
3.5¢
$20,238
$244,179
3%
49%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
kalshi

Above $4242

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
43%
Yes 44.8¢No 58.7¢
Avg: 51.7¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

↓ $4,500

Trade
28%
Yes 32¢No 75¢
7¢
$592
$342
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↑ $4,800

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
$760
$401
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $4,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.5¢
0.3¢
$18,516
$63,823
5%
46%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $3,900

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.4¢
$1,852
$56,802
1%
60%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $3,800

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$25,368
$49,173
38%
133%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $3,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$50,762
$44,601
0%
838%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $3,400

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$46,877
$44,577
0%
435%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $3,700

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$27,403
$21,353
61%
71%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $3,600

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$27,503
$15,928
0%
110%
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $4,600

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $4,400

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.5¢
$621
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↑ $4,900

Trade
N/A
N/A
3.1¢
$516
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
polymarket

↓ $4,300

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.4¢
$520
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
active
kalshi

Above $4052

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,106
N/A
N/A
$10,048
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $4042

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,302
N/A
N/A
$5,737
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 45m
Yes
kalshi

Above $4002

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,169
N/A
N/A
$13,590
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $4012

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,534
N/A
N/A
$8,210
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $4022

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,994
N/A
N/A
$5,419
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $4032

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,768
N/A
N/A
$4,291
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $3992

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,752
N/A
N/A
$6,951
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $3982

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,706
N/A
N/A
$2,452
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Above $3972

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,220
N/A
N/A
$1,891
0d 0h 0m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event group tracks whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific high or low price thresholds during August 2026. The markets cover a range of price points from $3,400 to $4,700, with some markets focusing on daily closing prices rather than intraday highs or lows.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently use actual traded prices of Gold (XAUUSD) during August 2026 trading sessions, with Pyth as the primary source and CME COMEX futures as a fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD

Core resolution logic:

  • Prices must be achieved during applicable trading sessions of August 2026 business days
  • Trading session begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date and ends at 5:00 PM ET Friday
  • Pyth provides 1-minute candle data; CME COMEX futures used only if Pyth data is unavailable
  • No rounding applied to prices — used exactly as published

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If Gold does not trade at all during the specified timeframe, all markets resolve to "No"
  • Contract Specification Change: In case of contract specification change or feed modification, resolution uses adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 2026 trading sessions conclude, using verified Pyth or CME COMEX dataOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on August 03, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold price, and if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the 1-minute candlestick at 5:00 PM EDT is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (i.e., the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM). If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.