TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$132,305,954

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,208,428,537

337,256

Markets across

34,285

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,306

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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When will NVIDIA release Vera Rubin?
kalshi

When will NVIDIA release Vera Rubin?

Jul 22, 2026, 1:00 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$299
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$230
0%

Before Dec 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Dec 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will NVIDIA release Vera Rubin before Dec 1, 2026?

72%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 72% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% | APY: 104% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Dec 2026

Trade
72%
Yes 78¢No 29¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$3
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before Sep 2026

69%
Yes 24¢No 83¢
N/A
$4
0%
0%
$2
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before Nov 2026

62%
Yes 62¢No 46¢
N/A
$177
0%
0%
$158
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before Oct 2026

37%
Yes 43¢No 65¢
N/A
$115
0%
0%
$67
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before Jan 2027

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before Aug 2026

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the timeline for NVIDIA to commercially launch its Vera Rubin product. It examines whether the company will make the product broadly available to consumers through official channels within specified timeframes. The focus is on achieving a full public release, excluding any beta, test, or limited access versions.

Kalshi

The event determines whether NVIDIA will commercially release the Vera Rubin product to the general public by specified dates ranging from August 2026 to January 2027. A commercial release requires the product to be available for purchase, subscription, or download through NVIDIA’s official channels, authorized retailers, or platform stores, and it must not be labeled as a beta, early access, preview, prototype, or test version. The release must occur in the United States. If any of the defined deadlines are met with a valid public release, the event resolves affirmatively. The consistent secondary criteria across all primary rules ensure that only a fully accessible, consumer-ready version counts toward a positive outcome.