TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
polymarket
predict
opinion

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?

Total volume:
$164,438
Volume 24h:
$5,749
29%
Liquidity:
$235,872
15%
Open interest:
$46,079N/A

↓ $690

all

3 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:12h:09m

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99.8¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.2% | APY: 16% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

↓ $690

Trade
100%
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢
—
$3,018
$14
0%
0%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
polymarket

↓ $690

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$16,430
$9,997
3%
25%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↓ 690

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50.5%
Yes 50.3¢No 50¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 0.7¢
predict

↑ $780

Trade
100%
50%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
$30,938
$1,334
0%
4%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
polymarket

↑ $780

Trade
19%
6%
Yes 23¢No 86¢
9¢
$630
$33,605
8%
33%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↑ 780

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
59.5%
Yes 61.3¢No 43.2¢
Avg: 9¢Max: 9¢
predict

↑ $800

Trade
100%
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢
—
$29,953
$25
0%
0%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
polymarket

↑ $800

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.1¢
0.4¢
$2,038
$15,461
0.1%
30%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↑ 800

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50.5%
Yes 50.4¢No 49.8¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.4¢
predict

↑ $790

Trade
42%
Yes 42.4¢No 57.6¢
—
$29,973
$1,163
0%
0.41%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
polymarket

↑ $790

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 3.8¢No 98.9¢
2.7¢
$17,707
$35,095
1%
21%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↑ 790

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
22%
Yes 23.1¢No 78.3¢
Avg: 2.7¢Max: 2.7¢
polymarket

↓ $720

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 5.7¢No 98.8¢
4.5¢
$16,830
$8,727
0.96%
15%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
predict

↓ $720

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$5,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↓ 720

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 5.7¢No 98.8¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 4.5¢
predict

↓ $730

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99.9¢
4.9¢
$34,081
$1,329
0%
5%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
polymarket

↓ $730

Trade
2%
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
$1,237
$20,306
5%
15%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↓ 730

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2.5%
Yes 3.5¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4.9¢
polymarket

↓ $710

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.3¢
0.7¢
$756
$6,364
0.08%
8%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
predict

↓ $710

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$2,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↓ 710

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.3¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 0.7¢
polymarket

↓ $680

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.9¢
1.1¢
$16,622
$9,291
7%
46%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
predict

↓ $680

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$6,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
opinion

↓ 680

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 8m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 1.1¢
polymarket

↓ $670

Trade
0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
$17,651
$3,884
3%
4%
N/A
4d 12h 9m
active
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This event group tracks whether the S&P 500 (SPY) will reach specific high or low price thresholds during August 2026. Markets resolve based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth during regular trading hours, with adjustments for corporate actions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution criteria and data sources.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends on SPY hitting the specified price threshold during regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) in August 2026
  • Prices are determined using 1-minute candle data from Pyth; pre-market/after-hours prices do not count
  • Corporate actions (splits, etc.) trigger proportional price adjustments using Pyth's split-adjusted data
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, official exchange daily high/low prices will be used as fallback

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Corporate Actions: Any stock splits or similar events will adjust target prices proportionally using Pyth's split-adjusted data
  • Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth data is inaccessible due to technical issues, official exchange daily high/low prices become the resolution standard
Timing: Resolved after August 2026, using data from the entire monthOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?

Predict

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?

Opinion

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.