TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$149,897,520
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,214,596,905
340,805
Markets across
34,373
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,679
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Time left: 04d:06h:38m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
$
Description
This event group tracks whether Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) stock will reach specific high or low price thresholds during August 2026. Markets are defined by 1-minute candle prices during regular trading hours, with adjustments for corporate actions.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use identical resolution logic based on Pyth's 1-minute candle data during regular trading hours, with corporate action adjustments.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDCore resolution logic:
- Resolution depends on whether any 1-minute candle's final High (for upward thresholds) or Low (for downward thresholds) equals or exceeds the listed price during August 2026 regular trading hours
- Prices are evaluated exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding
- Stock splits or similar corporate actions trigger proportional adjustments using Pyth's split-adjusted data
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth data is unavailable, official daily high/low prices from the primary exchange will be used
- After-Hours Trading: Prices achieved during pre-market or after-hours trading do not qualify, regardless of platform
Polymarket
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in August 2026?
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads index for August 2026, comparing it to August 2025. Each market has a specific threshold (60, 70, 80, or 90); if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions do not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 represents equal downloads to the prior year, values above 100 indicate growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Netflix, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Predict
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in August 2026?