TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in August 2026?
polymarket
opinion

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in August 2026?

Total volume:
$7,606
Volume 24h:
$5
88%
Liquidity:
$7,700
84%
Open interest:
$2,591N/A

↓ $300

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:13h:37m

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $300 in August?

5%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 8.2¢ buys you 1,220 shares | Odds: 5% Total Payout: $1,220 | Net Profit: $1,120 Multiplier: 12.20x | ROI: 1,120% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ $300

Trade
5%
Yes 8.2¢No 99¢
7.2¢
$439
$30
0%
500%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 300

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 8.2¢No 99¢
Avg: 7.2¢Max: 7.2¢
polymarket

↓ $360

3%
Yes 5.9¢No 99¢
4.9¢
$609
$41
0%
0%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 360

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 5.9¢No 99¢
Avg: 4.9¢Max: 4.9¢
polymarket

↓ $375

2%
Yes No 99¢
$943
$1,547
0%
95%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 375

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes No 99¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

↓ $330

2%
Yes 2.2¢No 99¢
1.2¢
$443
$570
0%
393%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 330

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 99¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 1.2¢
polymarket

↓ $315

1%
Yes 2.2¢No 99.8¢
$1,713
$249
2%
130%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 315

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 2.2¢No 99.8¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

↓ $345

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99¢
0.2¢
$1,614
$460
0%
41%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 345

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

↓ $285

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$1,938
$472
0%
15%
N/A
4d 13h 37m
active
opinion

↓ 285

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 36m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

↑ $480

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $420

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $405

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $435

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $465

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $390

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

↑ $450

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 13h 37m
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This group of markets focuses on whether Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) will reach specific high or low price thresholds during August 2026. The markets cover a range of price points for both high and low prices, with resolution based on intraday price action during regular trading hours.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets share identical resolution logic regarding price thresholds, trading hours, and data sources.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to 'Yes' if MSFT achieves or exceeds the specified high price, or falls to or below the specified low price, during any regular trading hour (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) in August 2026
  • Only prices during regular trading hours on the primary exchange are considered; pre-market and after-hours prices do not qualify
  • Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding
  • In case of stock splits, prices are adjusted proportionally and resolution is based on split-adjusted prices shown on Pyth
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, official daily high/low prices from the primary exchange will be used

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Stock Split Adjustment: If a stock split occurs before August 2026, all price thresholds will be proportionally adjusted, and resolution will be based on split-adjusted prices
  • Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth data is unavailable due to technical issues, official daily high/low prices published by the primary exchange will be used to determine resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 2026, once Pyth data (or exchange data if Pyth is unavailable) confirms whether the price thresholds were met during the specified monthOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in August 2026?

Opinion

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Microsoft (MSFT) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.