TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$115,807,555

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,188,566,556

336,771

Markets across

33,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,629

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Solana hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$1,857,967
Volume 24h:
$34,629
22%
Liquidity:
$639,395
13%
Open interest:
$57,085
0.46%

↑ 120

 - Polymarket

↑ 120 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% | APY: 104% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 120

Trade
76%
25%
Yes 78¢No 26¢
4¢
$37,313
$45,096
4%
2,759%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

100 or above

Trade
71%
Yes 72¢No 33¢
5¢
N/A
$54,489
1%
6%
$21,016
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 100

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
Yes
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
85.5%
Yes 86¢No 16.6¢
Avg: 2.6¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

↓ 90

Trade
61%
24%
Yes 61¢No 50¢
11¢
$4,226
$49
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 140

Trade
49%
21%
Yes 54¢No 56¢
10¢
$21,789
$27,154
4%
349%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 80

Trade
41%
17%
Yes 41¢No 70¢
11¢
$3,413
$226
24%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 160

Trade
29%
12%
Yes 30¢No 72¢
2¢
$35,125
$106,917
2%
23%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

150 or above

Trade
28%
Yes 27¢No 83¢
10¢
N/A
$51,276
0%
2%
$15,422
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 70

Trade
26%
9%
Yes 30¢No 79¢
9¢
$20,066
$23,411
6%
280%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

200 or above

Trade
19%
7%
Yes 20¢No 85¢
5¢
N/A
$39,654
0.1%
1%
$9,789
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 200

Trade
12%
4%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$39,893
$49,003
1%
24%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
15.5%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

↑ 180

Trade
17%
5%
Yes 18¢No 84¢
2¢
$31,661
$72,001
6%
35%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 60

Trade
16%
5%
Yes 18.8¢No 86.4¢
5.2¢
$27,136
$214,497
0.82%
8%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

250 or above

Trade
12%
1%
Yes 13¢No 91¢
4¢
N/A
$4,968
0.65%
0.65%
$1,799
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 260

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 5.4¢No 97.6¢
3¢
$33,710
$23,412
4%
32%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
8%
Yes 9.2¢No 94.3¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

300 or above

Trade
10%
4%
Yes 12¢No 94¢
6¢
N/A
$1,945
0.52%
2%
$1,630
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 300

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 97.7¢
0.9¢
$28,960
$28,768
4%
13%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6.5%
Yes 7.6¢No 95.9¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

↓ 50

Trade
10%
4%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$37,789
$102,499
7%
77%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

350 or above

Trade
9%
4%
Yes 12¢No 95¢
7¢
N/A
$6,997
0.08%
0.61%
$1,741
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

400 or above

Trade
9%
3%
Yes 11¢No 95¢
6¢
N/A
$5,052
0.2%
7%
$2,663
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 400

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3.1¢No 97.5¢
0.6¢
$28,034
$60,150
0.02%
8%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 7.1¢No 96.2¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

↓ 40

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
$43,514
$198,539
1%
9%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 220

Trade
7%
3%
Yes 9¢No 94.3¢
3.3¢
$40,163
$29,306
3%
17%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 240

Trade
6%
Yes 6.6¢No 94.9¢
1.5¢
$51,274
$54,368
2%
14%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 30

Trade
4%
3%
Yes 6.8¢No 97.9¢
4.7¢
$22,891
$12,940
0.05%
139%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether Solana will reach or exceed a specific price target on the SOL/USDT pair by the end of 2026. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data, with the observation window running from November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET through December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Watch for Solana price action as the December 31, 2026, end-of-betting deadline approaches, as any touch of the target price on a Binance 1-minute candle during the tracking window will trigger immediate resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses intraday price extremes (High/Low from 1-minute candles) across the entire 2025-2026 period, while Kalshi uses a single point-in-time snapshot (60-second average at exactly 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027). This creates fundamentally different settlement value definitions.Hero tip: On Polymarket, you win if SOL ever touches the price target anytime during the 13+ month window. On Kalshi, you only win if SOL is above the threshold at the exact moment of Jan 1, 2027 midnight—a volatile asset could spike to $600 on Polymarket but close 2026 at $150, losing on Kalshi. Choose your platform based on whether you're betting on 'will it ever reach' versus 'where will it be.'

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves YES if Solana's High (for upside targets) or Low (for downside targets) on any single 1-minute candle between Nov 24, 2025 14:30 ET and Dec 31, 2026 23:59 ET meets or exceeds/falls to the specified price. Resolution source is Binance SOL/USDT 1m chart. This is an 'ever touch' mechanism—a single extreme candle triggers resolution.
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if the simple 60-second average of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI is above the threshold at exactly 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027. This is a point-in-time snapshot at a single moment, independent of any intraday extremes. Resolution source is CF Benchmarks real-time index, not exchange spot price.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Solana hit before 2027?

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI price data collected at 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027, with outcomes at thresholds of $100, $150, $200, $250, $300, $350, $400, and $450. The official final value is calculated as the average of these 60 price points. CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index is used rather than other sources like Google or Coinbase to ensure consistency and accuracy in price determination.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates Solana price forecasts across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds and cumulative trading volume of $1,751,576. It displays the consensus view on where SOL will trade by year-end 2026, showing which price levels attract the most conviction. By monitoring both platforms simultaneously, traders gain a cross-market perspective on Solana's expected range, recent 24-hour activity of $86,252, and shifting sentiment as new on-chain or macro developments emerge.

Prediction market odds reflect forward-looking consensus rather than current spot price. Polymarket and Kalshi participants are pricing in volatility, regulatory risk, and adoption catalysts over the next two years. Market odds often diverge from spot expectations because traders embed tail risks and long-term fundamentals into their positions. The aggregated odds across both venues reveal whether the market expects Solana to appreciate, depreciate, or consolidate relative to today's valuation.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites. Polymarket's top outcome shows 76.0% chance, while Kalshi's leading outcome reflects 71.0% chance, a spread of 5.0 percentage points. Differences stem from varying fee structures, user geography, market depth, and how each platform frames the same underlying question. Arbitrage opportunities may persist if one venue systematically misprices Solana's 2026 trajectory relative to the other.