TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Other
What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?
predict

What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?

Aug 17, 2026, 7:55 AM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$808,931
Volume 24h:
$258,599N/A
Liquidity:
$518,810
99%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

>¥50M

 - Predict

>¥50M - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:41m

Will Niu Lai's box office in China hit ¥50M by September 2026?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: 10% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

>¥50M

Trade
100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
$5,663
$103,223
6%
294%
N/A
4d 4h 41m
active
predict

>¥60M

20%
25%
Yes 29.4¢No 89.5¢
18.9¢
$101,693
$5,625
216%
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 41m
active
predict

>¥75M

1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.6¢
0.7¢
$181,610
$174,914
47%
659%
N/A
4d 4h 41m
active
predict

>¥100M

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
$30,974
$192,229
36%
3,635%
N/A
4d 4h 41m
active
predict

>¥15M

100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
$77,722
$117,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 41m
Yes
predict

>¥20M

100%
4%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
$69,258
$87,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 41m
Yes
predict

>¥40M

100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
$16,961
$76,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 41m
Yes
predict

>¥30M

100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
$34,929
$51,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 41m
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August. This market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market. The official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized. Data for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized. If Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.

Predict

“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August. This market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market. The official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized. Data for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized. If Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.