TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$142,891,824

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,211,057,904

339,560

Markets across

34,155

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,672

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
polymarket

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Aug 13, 2026, 5:11 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$13,647
Volume 24h:
$437
68%
Liquidity:
$7,110
27%
Open interest:
$999N/A

Moonshot

 - Polymarket

Moonshot - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

33%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 33% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Moonshot

Trade
33%
Yes 35¢No 69¢
$344
$4,829
7%
3,275%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

OpenAI

27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
$543
$4,006
3%
3,732%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Alibaba

13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
$465
$414
0%
93%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Anthropic

7%
Yes No 94¢
$456
$594
0%
38%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Google

5%
Yes No 98.9¢
7.9¢
$415
$290
0%
151%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

4%
Yes 7.2¢No 99¢
6.2¢
$333
$332
0%
292%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

ByteDance

1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.8¢
1.7¢
$381
$436
0%
1,516%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

1%
3%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.6¢
0.7¢
$356
$252
0%
108%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Meta

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$390
$217
0%
579%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Baidu

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$347
$212
0%
686%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Mistral

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$407
$217
0%
579%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

MiniMax

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$414
$212
0%
686%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Meituan

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$371
$212
0%
686%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Amazon

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$391
$189
0%
600%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Nvidia

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$420
$172
0%
538%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$375
$325
0%
308%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.8¢
0.5¢
$389
$241
0%
123%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$315
$497
0%
439%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 18

Description

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".