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$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

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3,362

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5

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VS.

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Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent
kalshi

Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent

Aug 24, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Sep 21, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$14,400
Volume 24h:
$1,327N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,550
25%

At least 13%

 - Kalshi

At least 13% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 21, 2026

Time left: 24d:14h:51m

Will Moderate Party receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% | APY: 147% 24 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 13%

Trade
94%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$5,839
0%
N/A
$1,614
3w 3d 14h
active
kalshi

At least 15%

Trade
88%
Yes 88¢No 13¢
1¢
N/A
$1,037
0%
N/A
$301
3w 3d 14h
active
kalshi

At least 16%

Trade
72%
Yes 74¢No 27¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
3w 3d 14h
active
kalshi

At least 17%

Trade
60%
Yes 64¢No 40¢
4¢
N/A
$2,655
51%
N/A
$1,278
3w 3d 14h
active
kalshi

At least 18%

Trade
36%
1%
Yes 40¢No 63¢
3¢
N/A
$1,436
42%
N/A
$825
3w 3d 14h
active
kalshi

At least 19%

Trade
27%
Yes 32¢No 74¢
6¢
N/A
$3,207
0%
N/A
$1,307
3w 3d 14h
active
kalshi

At least 21%

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
N/A
$25
0%
N/A
$25
3w 3d 14h
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of the Moderate Party in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on whether their share of valid votes meets or exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified results from the national election authority.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Moderate Party's final certified vote share in Sweden's 2026 Riksdag election, as determined by Valmyndigheten. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the party's percentage of valid votes falls within the specified range for each market (from 13% up to 21%). All markets exclude invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots from the denominator calculation. Only votes cast in the national parliamentary election count — regional and municipal election results are irrelevant. The resolution relies exclusively on the authoritative certified tally, not preliminary or ongoing counts.