TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$142,891,824
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,211,057,904
339,560
Markets across
34,155
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,672
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
<900m
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Aug 31, 2026
Time left: 04d:04h:14m
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
$
Description
This event group tracks the domestic box office performance of the movie 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' by August 31, 2026, with markets structured around various gross revenue brackets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria based on The Numbers' Box Office Performance data for the specified period, with consistent tie-breaking rules and fallback procedures.Primary resolution logic: The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) Box Office Performance tabCore resolution logic:
- Use daily box office figures from The Numbers for all dates between July 31, 2026 and August 31, 2026
- If gross falls exactly between brackets, resolve to the higher range bracket
- Market remains open until both The Numbers and Box Office Mojo confirm finalized figures
- If no final data by September 30, 2026, use another credible resolution source
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Exact Bracket Boundary: If total gross is exactly at a bracket boundary (e.g., exactly $920m), the market resolves to the higher bracket
- Data Discrepancy: If The Numbers and Box Office Mojo report different final figures, the market resolves based on The Numbers data as primary source
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Predict
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
