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$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

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34,373

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

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September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents
kalshi

September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EST - Sep 16, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$34,804
Volume 24h:
$986
79%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$24,844
4%

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0

 - Kalshi

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 16, 2026

Time left: 20d:01h:42m

Will Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Sep 2026?

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 67¢ buys you 149 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $149 | Net Profit: $49 Multiplier: 1.49x | ROI: 49% APY not meaningful 20 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0

Trade
67%
4%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
N/A
$10,605
4%
22%
$8,379
2w 6d 1h
active
kalshi

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0

Trade
27%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
N/A
$4,186
0%
37%
$2,533
2w 6d 1h
active
kalshi

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0

Trade
8%
2%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$14,477
4%
54%
$10,829
2w 6d 1h
active
kalshi

Rate: No change, Dissents: 0

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$4,083
0%
17%
$2,296
2w 6d 1h
active
kalshi

Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,185
0%
0.31%
$660
2w 6d 1h
active
kalshi

Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$268
0%
0.99%
$148
2w 6d 1h
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks potential outcomes of the Federal Reserve's September 2026 monetary policy meeting, focusing on both the direction of the federal funds rate and the level of disagreement among policymakers. Participants assess the likelihood of specific combinations of rate changes and dissent counts among Federal Reserve members. The resolution depends on official announcements following the meeting.

Kalshi

The event consists of six distinct markets, each requiring all specified conditions to be met for a 'Yes' resolution. Each market combines two components: the Federal Funds Rate Decision and the number of dissents. The Federal Funds Rate Decision component is resolved according to the FEDDECISION ruleset, which evaluates the official rate change announced after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The Dissents component is resolved using the FOMCDISSENTCOUNT ruleset, which counts the number of voting members who vote against the chosen policy direction. For each market to resolve to 'Yes,' both components must align perfectly with the stated conditions—any deviation in either the rate change or the dissent count immediately results in a 'No' resolution. Economic data releases are resolved using the first officially released value, with no consideration for preliminary or revised estimates unless explicitly stated. All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time frame for the September 2026 meeting.