TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
polymarket

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?

Jul 20, 2026, 8:45 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$84,276
Volume 24h:
$2,876
1,841%
Liquidity:
$36,324
28%
Open interest:
$11,457N/A

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:10h:03m

Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98.2¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 423% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

Trade
97%
Yes 98.2¢No 4.9¢
3.1¢
$1,770
$33,357
7%
17%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

1%
Yes No 99.2¢
1.2¢
$1,312
$15,965
3%
8%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Anthropic

1%
1%
Yes 2.2¢No 99.7¢
1.9¢
$1,432
$9,325
0.35%
2%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.7¢
0.6¢
$2,687
$3,330
4%
7%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

1%
1%
Yes No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$2,746
$2,605
4%
8%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
0.3¢
$1,519
$2,845
1%
11%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
$2,964
$2,361
1%
5%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,572
$2,359
0%
7%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$942
$2,266
0%
60%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,105
$1,564
0%
2%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,181
$1,497
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,443
$1,119
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,499
$1,115
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,296
$1,004
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,662
$709
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,626
$667
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,541
$577
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,220
$556
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,480
$554
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,325
$500
0%
0%
N/A
4d 10h 3m
active
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".