TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
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Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Aug 25, 2026, 9:24 AM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$128,135
Volume 24h:
$19,355
3,915%
Liquidity:
$17,743
37%
Open interest:
$16,911N/A

Moonshot

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:02h:28m

Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

87%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 91.8¢ buys you 109 shares | Odds: 87% Total Payout: $109 | Net Profit: $9 Multiplier: 1.09x | ROI: 9% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Moonshot

Trade
87%
51%
Yes 91.8¢No 17¢
8.8¢
$536
$37,146
13%
50%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Moonshot

N/A
N/A
78.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
87%
Yes 91.8¢No 17¢
Avg: 43.8¢Max: 78.7¢
polymarket

Z.ai

7%
Yes 9.7¢No 95.8¢
5.5¢
$947
$27,772
28%
94%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Z.ai

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7%
Yes 9.7¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 5.5¢
polymarket

Tencent

6%
Yes 7.2¢No 95.9¢
3.1¢
$2,323
$8,978
61%
177%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Tencent

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 7.2¢No 95.9¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 3.1¢
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
4%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
$1,375
$13,615
17%
51%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Alibaba

N/A
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max:
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
0.4¢
$1,164
$8,953
24%
133%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Xiaomi

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.4¢
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,579
$8,732
7%
27%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Baidu

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,599
$7,342
0.27%
14%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

DeepSeek

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,357
$6,850
17%
98%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

ByteDance

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,631
$5,690
5%
76%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

MiniMax

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,235
$1,869
1%
48%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

Meituan

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,874
$1,187
0%
107%
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
predict

StepFun

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 28m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: Max:
Total markets: 22

Description

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Predict

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".