TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Companies
Second-best AI Lab end of August?
polymarket

Second-best AI Lab end of August?

Jul 20, 2026, 8:55 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$174,346
Volume 24h:
$2,718
20%
Liquidity:
$64,706
18%
Open interest:
$21,176N/A

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:32m

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

Trade
94%
4%
Yes 94¢No
$1,002
$28,294
4%
15%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Meta

3%
3%
Yes 4.8¢No 98.3¢
3.1¢
$2,168
$14,936
1%
25%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.6¢
1.2¢
$3,039
$31,691
0%
5%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.5¢
0.9¢
$3,653
$8,647
0%
6%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
0.4¢
$3,260
$8,130
13%
49%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$2,780
$7,792
2%
6%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$3,459
$8,268
0.64%
6%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Thinky

0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$2,685
$5,359
2%
8%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$4,701
$9,284
0.67%
62%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$4,100
$8,734
0.65%
26%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
$2,943
$8,193
0.74%
9%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
$2,270
$5,783
2%
10%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$4,421
$7,812
0.53%
41%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$3,962
$4,899
0%
0%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$1,996
$4,898
0%
113%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$5,108
$4,764
0%
0.79%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,742
$2,172
0%
0%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,962
$1,360
0%
0%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,459
$1,248
0%
0%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,502
$1,048
0%
0%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$2,495
$1,035
0%
0%
N/A
4d 4h 32m
active
Total markets: 21

Description

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".