TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Economics
Poland rate decision in September
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kalshi

Poland rate decision in September

Aug 26, 2026, 2:00 PM EST - Sep 2, 2026, 9:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$4,129
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$3,280
0%

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 2, 2026

Time left: 05d:21h:21m

Will the Narodowy Bank Polski Maintain current rate at the September Monetary Policy Council meeting?

89%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 91¢ buys you 110 shares | Odds: 89% Total Payout: $110 | Net Profit: $10 Multiplier: 1.10x | ROI: 10% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

Trade
89%
Yes 91¢No 80¢
71¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
5d 21h 21m
active
kalshi

Cut 25bps

6%
Yes No 95¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
5d 21h 21m
active
kalshi

Hike 25bps

2%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$877
N/A
N/A
$452
5d 21h 21m
active
kalshi

Cut 50bps

2%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$449
5d 21h 21m
active
kalshi

Hike more than 50bps

1%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
$649
5d 21h 21m
active
kalshi

Hike 50bps

1%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
$449
5d 21h 21m
active
kalshi

Cut more than 50bps

1%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
5d 21h 21m
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the potential movements of Poland's central bank policy rate following its scheduled meeting. Participants assess whether the bank will adjust rates by specific amounts, maintain current levels, or implement unexpected changes. The outcome hinges on the official announcement made during the meeting.

Kalshi

The resolution of all markets tied to the Narodowy Bank Polski's September Monetary Policy Council meeting depends on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. Only changes to the primary policy rate are considered; for banks with multiple rates, secondary rates are disregarded. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed beyond the expiration date, all 'No change' markets resolve to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate adjustments occurring outside of scheduled meetings do not impact the resolution of these contracts. Each market specifically resolves based on whether the central bank cuts rates by more than 50 basis points, cuts by exactly 50 basis points, cuts by 25 basis points, maintains the current rate, hikes by 25 basis points, hikes by 50 basis points, or hikes by more than 50 basis points during the September meeting.