TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$149,897,520
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,214,596,905
340,805
Markets across
34,373
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,679
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 545,000 jobs
- Kalshi
Above 545,000 jobs - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves May 7, 2027
$
This event tracks Pennsylvania's manufacturing employment levels over the course of 2026. It measures whether the state's manufacturing sector maintains sufficient job numbers to surpass specific employment thresholds as officially reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Outcomes reflect broader economic health and industrial activity within the state.
The event resolves based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' officially published annual-average manufacturing employment figure for Pennsylvania in 2026, drawn from the Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry. Employment figures are reported in thousands of jobs, and the resolution uses the officially published annual-average value rather than any independently calculated average of monthly estimates. Multiple markets exist with varying employment thresholds (above 550,000; above 555,000; above 560,000; and above 565,000 jobs). For any given market, if the BLS-reported annual-average manufacturing employment for Pennsylvania in 2026 exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.