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OPEN INTEREST:

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337,556

Markets across

34,185

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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NBA Free Agency: Jonathan Kuminga Next Team
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will Jonathan Kuminga join by October 31, 2026?

Total volume:
$573,681
Volume 24h:
$16,879
82%
Liquidity:
$16,019
24%
Open interest:
$368,681
0.18%

Minnesota Timberwolves

 - Polymarket

Minnesota Timberwolves - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.8¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.2% | APY: 1% Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Minnesota Timberwolves

Trade
99%
5%
Yes 99.8¢No 1.4¢
1.2¢
$160
$1,632
0.69%
693%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Minnesota

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$76,830
20%
175%
$38,570
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Chicago

Trade
16%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,640
0%
35%
$8,337
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Sacramento

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$16,347
0%
17%
$13,544
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Los Angeles L

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$192,932
1%
19%
$97,337
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Cleveland

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$83,795
0.01%
3%
$54,662
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Golden State

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$48,184
0%
736%
$47,737
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Atlanta

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$24,005
0%
15%
$15,798
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Milwaukee

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$19,467
0.03%
19%
$14,979
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Los Angeles C

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$16,914
0%
32%
$14,753
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Portland

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,441
0%
85%
$7,734
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Denver

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$6,239
0%
11%
$6,028
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Brooklyn

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$6,106
0%
38%
$6,031
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Memphis

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,384
14%
122%
$5,372
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Charlotte

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,175
0%
15%
$5,127
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Boston

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,713
0%
11%
$4,668
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Dallas

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,640
0%
29%
$4,619
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Detroit

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,182
0%
14%
$4,175
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Miami

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,748
0%
3%
$3,655
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Indiana

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,758
0%
277%
$2,758
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Philadelphia

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,449
0%
0%
$2,403
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Utah

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,675
0%
0%
$1,675
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Washington

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,563
0%
3%
$1,563
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

New York

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,206
0%
0%
$1,206
1mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Toronto

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,187
0%
4%
$1,187
1mo 3w 3d
active
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks which NBA team Jonathan Kuminga will join as a free agent, with resolution occurring when he officially signs with a new team by October 2026. Markets span across Polymarket (individual team binary outcomes) and Kalshi (categorical team outcomes), all targeting the 2026-27 season.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct deadline cutoffs (October 21 vs October 31, 2026) create a 10-day resolution window divergence. Additionally, Polymarket uses binary per-team markets with an "Other" catch-all, while Kalshi uses a categorical structure with explicit "Retires / No Team" option.Hero tip: The 10-day gap between Kalshi (Oct 21) and Polymarket (Oct 31) means late free agency signings will resolve differently across platforms. On Kalshi, any signing after Oct 21 triggers the "Retires / No Team" YES resolution, while Polymarket will resolve to the actual team. Traders should hedge positions across both platforms if expecting late-October signings. Also note Polymarket's "Other" category captures teams not explicitly listed, whereas Kalshi covers all 30 NBA teams.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary YES/NO per team structure with resolution deadline of October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolves immediately upon official signing announcement. Includes "Other" catch-all for unlisted teams, retirement, or no signing by deadline. Key Quote: 'An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.'
  • Kalshi: Categorical structure with all 30 NBA teams plus "Retires / No Team" option, with resolution deadline of October 21, 2026 (10 days earlier). Each market resolves YES if signing occurs before Oct 21. Key Quote: 'If Jonathan Kuminga's next team is [Team] before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the next team Jonathan Kuminga officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Jonathan Kuminga does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Jonathan Kuminga joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Jonathan Kuminga is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on Jonathan Kuminga's NBA team affiliation as of October 21, 2026. Each team outcome resolves to Yes if Kuminga's next team is that franchise before the resolution date. If Kuminga remains on his team at the time of market issuance through October 21, 2026, that team's outcome resolves to Yes. The "Retires / No Team" outcome resolves to Yes if Kuminga officially retires before October 21, 2026, or if he is not on any NBA team by that date. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes based on Kuminga's status at the resolution deadline.

Frequently asked questions

The Kuminga free agency market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which NBA team Jonathan Kuminga will join next. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of specific destinations, with Polymarket currently showing 99.2% consensus on one leading outcome. This cross-platform view reveals where the market sees the highest probability, helping fans and analysts gauge consensus sentiment on his next landing spot as the offseason unfolds.

Prediction markets like these operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders themselves determine prices through continuous buying and selling, creating a real-time consensus probability. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader conviction. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because prediction traders often incorporate longer-term information and have different risk appetites than bettors seeking short-term payouts.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds on the same event due to distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with varying expertise and time horizons, so price discovery happens independently. Differences may also reflect platform-specific rules around market closure, dispute resolution timelines, or how each handles ambiguous outcomes. Savvy traders monitor both venues to identify arbitrage opportunities or to gauge which platform's crowd is more confident in a particular outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, once Kuminga's next team is officially announced or becomes verifiable through credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which franchise he signs with or is traded to during the 2026 offseason. Resolution hinges on official NBA confirmation, whether through a press release, league announcement, or confirmed reporting from established sports news outlets. Early resolution may occur if a deal is finalized before the end date.

Major catalysts include trade rumors, team salary cap updates, coaching changes, and draft decisions that reshape roster needs. Kuminga's performance in upcoming seasons, injury reports, and statements from team executives or agents can shift trader sentiment significantly. Free agency signings by competing teams may open or close roster spots, altering destination probabilities. Media reports linking him to specific franchises typically trigger sharp price moves, as do playoff results that influence which teams prioritize his acquisition.