TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Science and Technology
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
opinion
polymarket

Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

Total volume:
$5,494,302
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$1,125
447%
Open interest:
$966N/A

Saudi Aramco

 - Opinion

Saudi Aramco - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Saudi Aramco

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 94.9¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 16% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Saudi Aramco

Trade
94%
Yes 94.9¢No 98.8¢
93.7¢
N/A
$2,138,641
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

NVIDIA

Trade
70%
Yes 69.9¢No 31.1¢
1¢
N/A
$120,237
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Tesla

Trade
38%
Yes 38¢No 99¢
37¢
N/A
$847,710
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1.75-$2.00T

Trade
28%
18%
Yes 28¢No 93¢
21¢
$285
$664
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1.00-$1.25T

Trade
24%
23%
Yes 24¢No 97¢
21¢
$255
$407
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

Alphabet

Trade
17%
Yes 64.9¢No 64.9¢
29.8¢
N/A
$126,397
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Apple

Trade
16%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
0¢
N/A
$132,367
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

$2.00-$2.25T

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 12¢No 96.9¢
8.9¢
$140
$118
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

<$1.00T

Trade
6%
12%
Yes 10¢No 98.7¢
8.7¢
$130
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

Amazon

Trade
1%
Yes 4.3¢No 99¢
3.3¢
N/A
$1,914,301
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Microsoft

Trade
0%
Yes 99.3¢No 99¢
98.3¢
N/A
$213,442
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1.25-$1.50T

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1.50-$1.75T

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$2.25T+

Trade
N/A
N/A
8.7¢
$96
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group focuses on predicting Meta Platforms Inc.'s market capitalization at the end of October 2026. The markets span multiple platforms, each addressing different market cap thresholds or ranges for Meta.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core methodology for calculating Meta's market capitalization and resolving against specified thresholds or ranges.Primary resolution logic: Official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts

Core resolution logic:

  • Market capitalization is calculated using the final official regular-hours closing prices on Meta's primary exchange for the last trading day of October 2026
  • The calculation includes all outstanding share classes, applying stated conversion ratios where necessary
  • If the market cap falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, it resolves to the higher bracket
  • Resolution considers Meta's status as an independent entity; pre-transaction values are used if Meta ceases to exist before the resolution date

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Boundary: If Meta's market cap exactly matches a threshold between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket
  • Share Class Conversion: All outstanding share classes are included in the calculation, with conversion ratios applied where specified by official filings
  • Company Acquisition: If Meta is acquired or merges out before October 2026, the market resolves based on the last reported market cap prior to the transaction
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of regular trading on the last trading day of October 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Opinion

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.