TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$131,483,547
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,200,781,395
338,101
Markets across
34,156
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,657
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Time left: 04d:04h:25m
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 57m by August 31?
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Description
This group of markets focuses on whether Madonna's monthly listeners on Spotify will reach specific thresholds by August 31. The markets are structured as binary outcomes (Yes/No) based on Spotify's reported monthly listener counts for Madonna's primary artist profile.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets use Spotify's monthly listener count for Madonna's primary artist profile as the resolution source, with the same evaluation window and threshold comparison logic.Primary resolution logic: Spotify's public artist profile monthly listener countCore resolution logic:
- Resolve to 'Yes' if Madonna's monthly listeners on Spotify are greater than or equal to the specified threshold at any point between market creation and August 31, 2026
- Resolve to 'No' if the threshold is never reached within the specified timeframe
- Only primary artist profiles qualify; features or collaborations under other artist profiles do not count
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Profile Changes: If Madonna's Spotify profile is deleted or merged with another profile before August 31, the most recent available data will be used for resolution
- Data Delays: Spotify may experience temporary reporting delays; resolution will use the earliest available data point that meets the threshold criteria
Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Madonna has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily view counts for the artist YoungBoy Never Broke Again on YouTube throughout the period of July 27 to August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count threshold, ranging from above 6.5 million to above 7.3 million views in increments of 0.1 million. The market resolves to 'Yes' if, at any point during the specified week, the artist's global daily views on YouTube exceed the respective threshold for any given market. View counts are verified using YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter. It is important to note that neither these markets nor the associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement.
