TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.4b
24H VOL:
$84,940,147
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,022,755
334,261
Markets across
33,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,574
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Initial jobless claims measure the number of people applying for unemployment benefits during a specific week, offering insight into employment trends and economic health. Tracking these claims helps analysts gauge the labor market's condition and potential economic shifts. The week ending August 22, 2026, will provide data reflecting employment dynamics during that period.
These markets collectively assess whether initial jobless claims for the week ending August 22, 2026, will meet or exceed various thresholds ranging from 180,000 to 230,000. Each market corresponds to a specific claim level, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if the official reported figure meets or surpasses that threshold. The structure allows participants to bet on different levels of labor market stress, effectively creating a spectrum of possible economic scenarios based on unemployment activity for that week.