TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
polymarket

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?

Aug 21, 2026, 10:49 AM EST - Aug 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$11,423
Volume 24h:
$3,846
107%
Liquidity:
$9,837
55%
Open interest:
$5,715N/A

8

 - Polymarket

8 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:06h:31m

Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

19%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 19¢ buys you 526 shares | Odds: 19% Total Payout: $526 | Net Profit: $426 Multiplier: 5.26x | ROI: 426% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

8

Trade
19%
6%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
$956
$229
198%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

9

16%
4%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
$1,176
$352
117%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

7

13%
4%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
$1,174
$530
631%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

10

13%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
$1,017
$234
484%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

11

12%
1%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
$1,269
$31
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

more than 13

11%
9%
Yes 13¢No 91¢
$877
$2,338
5%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

12

6%
2%
Yes 7.2¢No 94.8¢
$1,061
$773
77%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

13

6%
4%
Yes No 96¢
$1,031
$738
849%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
polymarket

≤6

4%
4%
Yes No 99¢
$1,277
$6,198
11%
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 31m
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.