TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$132,305,954

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,208,428,537

337,256

Markets across

34,285

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,306

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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How low will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

How low will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?

Aug 4, 2026, 4:47 PM EST - Sep 1, 2026, 2:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$31,987
Volume 24h:
$2,159N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$24,534
9%

71.99 or below

 - Kalshi

71.99 or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:17h:14m

Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $72.00 by Aug 31, 2026?

18%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 10¢ buys you 1,000 shares | Odds: 18% Total Payout: $1,000 | Net Profit: $900 Multiplier: 10.00x | ROI: 900% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71.99 or below

Trade
18%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$200
0%
0%
$200
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

73.99 or below

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 100¢
15¢
N/A
$1,792
0.62%
39%
$1,191
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

73.49 or below

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 100¢
15¢
N/A
$278
0%
13%
$118
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

74.49 or below

Trade
14%
Yes 34¢No 100¢
34¢
N/A
$2,334
0%
14%
$1,661
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

72.99 or below

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 100¢
14¢
N/A
$1,080
0%
15%
$357
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

71.49 or below

Trade
14%
Yes 6¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$202
0%
0%
$152
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

72.49 or below

Trade
10%
Yes 12¢No 100¢
12¢
N/A
$2,110
0%
33%
$1,355
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

65.99 or below

Trade
10%
8%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,424
17%
17%
$1,387
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

69.49 or below

Trade
10%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$671
0%
1%
$591
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

70.99 or below

Trade
10%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$655
0%
0%
$25
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

67.99 or below

Trade
10%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$539
0%
6%
$461
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

67.49 or below

Trade
5%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$352
0%
0%
$342
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

69.99 or below

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$1,189
0%
52%
$964
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

74.99 or below

Trade
3%
34%
Yes 35¢No 98¢
33¢
N/A
$2,955
0.86%
29%
$1,925
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

68.49 or below

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$355
0%
0%
$355
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

68.99 or below

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$125
0%
0%
$125
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

66.99 or below

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$93
0%
0%
$93
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

70.49 or below

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$1,030
0%
0%
$397
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

66.49 or below

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$306
0%
0%
$306
4d 17h 14m
active
kalshi

75.49 or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,296
N/A
N/A
$12,528
4d 17h 14m
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

The price of WTI oil could experience significant drops due to factors like increased production, economic downturns, or technological advances in extraction, leading to lower market prices. Global supply chains and geopolitical events also heavily influence oil pricing trends, potentially causing sharp declines over time.

Kalshi

Multiple thresholds define this event, each specifying a distinct price level below which WTI oil must fall at any point between issuance and August 31, 2026, for the respective market to resolve to Yes. The thresholds range incrementally from $75.49 to $65.99, with each rule outlining a specific price point. If the minimum price of oil, as reported by ICE based on WTI front-month settle prices, falls below any of these thresholds during the specified period, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The outcome is determined by the lowest threshold breached, with no market resolving to No unless all thresholds remain unmet.