TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$132,305,954

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,208,428,537

337,256

Markets across

34,285

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,306

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Aug 1, 2026, 6:00 AM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$115,579
Volume 24h:
$4,019
31%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$70,136
3%

Above $4011.99

 - Kalshi

Above $4011.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:39m

Will the gold close price be above 4011.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 240% 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4011.99

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No
N/A
$5,962
0%
0.03%
$4,526
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $4291.99

99%
Yes 99¢No
N/A
$4,055
10%
47%
$1,040
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $4331.99

99%
Yes 99¢No
N/A
$3,312
0%
8%
$911
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3771.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$2,093
0.05%
31%
$1,623
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3451.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$2,034
0.05%
0.05%
$2,034
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3331.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$936
0.11%
0%
$936
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3251.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$899
0.33%
350%
$899
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3891.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$761
0.13%
0.13%
$601
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $4091.99

99%
Yes 99¢No
N/A
$735
0%
0.26%
$390
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3811.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$487
0.21%
63%
$300
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3851.99

99%
1%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$401
0.25%
0.25%
$401
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3291.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$303
0.33%
0.33%
$303
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3691.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$300
0.33%
0.33%
$300
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3731.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$253
0.4%
0.4%
$251
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3971.99

99%
8%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$249
0.4%
0.4%
$228
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3931.99

99%
7%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$201
0.5%
0.5%
$201
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3651.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$92
1%
1%
$92
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3371.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3411.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3491.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3531.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3571.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $3611.99

99%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $4371.99

97%
Yes 98¢No
N/A
$2,247
0%
20%
$825
3d 19h 39m
active
kalshi

Above $4251.99

96%
Yes 99¢No
N/A
$2,762
0%
27%
$1,421
3d 19h 39m
active
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of gold on a specific date and time, settling based on whether it exceeds various predetermined thresholds. It reflects short-term price movements in the gold market at a defined moment, offering insight into immediate trading conditions without considering broader market trends or longer-term economic factors.

Kalshi

Multiple markets are defined, each resolving to 'Yes' if the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold, ranging incrementally from $3251.99 to $4811.99 USD per troy ounce. The settlement value is consistently rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and is officially recorded at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the outcome for all markets. This ensures uniform application of data retrieval and rounding rules across all threshold-based markets.