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European Central Bank rate decision in September
kalshi

European Central Bank rate decision in September

Jul 22, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Sep 10, 2026, 8:15 AM EST
Total volume:
$21,827
Volume 24h:
$4,758
12%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$18,425
35%

Hike 1-25bps

 - Kalshi

Hike 1-25bps - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 10, 2026

Time left: 13d:18h:29m

Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 30% 13 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$10,089
30%
79%
$8,252
1w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Maintain current rate

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$8,896
33%
64%
$7,332
1w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$495
85%
87%
$495
1w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

Trade
1%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$2,155
0%
374%
$2,155
1w 6d 18h
active
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$192
1%
283%
$192
1w 6d 18h
active
Total markets: 5

Description

The event concerns the European Central Bank's monetary policy decision at its September Governing Council meeting. It focuses on the potential actions the bank may take regarding interest rates. The outcome depends on whether the bank decides to cut, maintain, or hike rates by any amount during the meeting.

Kalshi

If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.