TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
polymarket
kalshi

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

Total volume:
$35,016
Volume 24h:
$7,385
5,859%
Liquidity:
$5,380
19%
Open interest:
$10,382
163%

No change

 - Polymarket

No change - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 81% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% High Projected APY: 860% 33 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

No change

Trade
81%
Yes 81¢No 20¢
1¢
$1,502
$9,467
0%
2%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
kalshi

Maintain current rate

Trade
74%
Yes 76¢No 27¢
3¢
N/A
$10,015
270%
511%
$8,376
2w 21h
active
kalshi

Cut 25bps

Trade
27%
Yes 31¢No 95¢
26¢
N/A
$1,257
1%
28%
$1,241
2w 21h
active
polymarket

50+ bps increase

Trade
9%
Yes 11.1¢No 94.1¢
5.2¢
$909
$2,116
1%
18%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

25 bps increase

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$860
$9,184
0%
3%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

50+ bps decrease

Trade
5%
Yes 9.5¢No 99.2¢
8.7¢
$1,200
$1,267
0%
23%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

25 bps decrease

Trade
3%
Yes 4.1¢No 99¢
3.1¢
$909
$852
0%
7%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
kalshi

Cut more than 50bps

Trade
1%
Yes 6¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$407
0.49%
0.49%
$363
2w 21h
active
kalshi

Cut 50bps

Trade
1%
5%
Yes 21¢No 99¢
20¢
N/A
$186
8%
1,128%
$181
2w 21h
active
kalshi

Hike 50bps

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$109
4%
127%
$87
2w 21h
active
kalshi

Hike 25bps

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$101
6%
339%
$79
2w 21h
active
kalshi

Hike more than 50bps

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$54
12%
12%
$54
2w 21h
active
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group tracks the potential changes to the Central Bank of Colombia's monetary policy interest rate at its September 2026 meeting. The markets will resolve based on the official announcement from the Central Bank of Colombia regarding any rate adjustments, increases, or decreases relative to the rate prior to the meeting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same official source and apply consistent rounding rules to rate changes.Primary resolution logic: Official statement or release from the Central Bank of Colombia's September 2026 meeting

Core resolution logic:

  • Rate changes are rounded to the nearest 25 basis points, with changes less than 25 bps rounded to 25 bps
  • Any increase or decrease in the rate, regardless of size after rounding, triggers the corresponding 'Increase' or 'Decrease' market
  • If the meeting is postponed or cancelled, the market resolves to 'No Change'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement before next meeting: Market resolves based on the outcome of the postponed meeting
  • Cancellation or postponement with no decision: Market resolves to 'No Change'
  • Emergency rate changes: Not considered for resolution unless resulting from the specified meeting
Timing: As soon as the official statement or release from the Central Bank of Colombia's September 2026 meeting is issuedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of Russia at its September 11, 2026 Board of Directors meeting. Markets are determined by whether the central bank cuts rates by specific amounts (more than 50 basis points, exactly 50bps, exactly 25bps), maintains the current rate, or hikes rates by specific amounts (25bps, 50bps, or more than 50bps). Only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for 'No change' resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes occurring between scheduled meetings do not affect contract resolution. The basis point ranges specified in each market are inclusive, meaning that outcomes at the exact boundary values count toward the relevant market.