TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)

Total volume:
$50,746
Volume 24h:
$8,464N/A
Liquidity:
$2,870
59%
Open interest:
$23,586
27%

0.2-0.3%

 - Polymarket

0.2-0.3% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 28, 2026

Time left: 15h:22m:23s

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?

56%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 58¢ buys you 172 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $172 | Net Profit: $72 Multiplier: 1.72x | ROI: 72% APY not meaningful Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

0.2-0.3%

Trade
56%
5%
Yes 58¢No 47¢
5¢
$418
$11,366
3%
22%
N/A
15h 22m
active
polymarket

0.0-0.1%

Trade
23%
1%
Yes 25¢No 80¢
5¢
$498
$6,323
4%
25%
N/A
15h 22m
active
polymarket

0.4-0.5%

Trade
19%
Yes 21.6¢No 83¢
4.6¢
$743
$2,360
12%
48%
N/A
15h 22m
active
polymarket

<0.0%

Trade
10%
4%
Yes 12.7¢No 92.1¢
4.8¢
$343
$2,593
17%
134%
N/A
15h 22m
active
polymarket

0.6-0.7%

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$199
$1,865
72%
104%
N/A
15h 22m
active
polymarket

0.8%+

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$668
$1,224
25%
55%
N/A
15h 22m
active
kalshi

Above $5.540

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,868
N/A
N/A
$3,868
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.545

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$2,963
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.530

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,283
N/A
N/A
$2,283
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.515

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
$2,149
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.535

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,926
N/A
N/A
$1,916
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,788
N/A
N/A
$1,708
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.520

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,655
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.500

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,275
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.505

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,275
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.510

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,275
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.525

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,193
N/A
N/A
$1,193
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.575

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$130
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.570

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$92
10h 22m
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.600

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,544
N/A
N/A
$1,306
10h 22m
No
kalshi

Above $5.590

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$489
N/A
N/A
$447
10h 22m
No
kalshi

Above $5.595

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$39
10h 22m
No
kalshi

Above $5.585

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
10h 22m
No
kalshi

Above $5.605

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
10h 22m
No
kalshi

Above $5.555

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 22m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event group tracks Canada's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate month-over-month (MoM) for June 2026. The markets resolve based on the official Statistics Canada release of the 'Gross domestic product by industry' report for June 2026, scheduled for August 28, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same official Statistics Canada GDP report for June 2026, using the initial release data and reported to one decimal place.Primary resolution logic: Statistics Canada 'Gross domestic product by industry' release for June 2026

Core resolution logic:

  • Use the initial release data from Statistics Canada for June 2026 GDP
  • Report GDP growth rate to one decimal place (e.g., 0.8%)
  • Markets resolve based on whether the reported value falls within the specified ranges

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Not Released by Next Schedule: If no data is released by the next month's scheduled release date, the market resolves based on the last available month's data
  • Revisions After Initial Release: Any revisions to the GDP report data made after the initial release are not considered for resolution
Timing: Resolves after the official Statistics Canada release on August 28, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the observed diesel price on August 21, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold between $5.500 and $5.600. If the actual price exceeds a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure creates a ladder of progressively stricter conditions, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of diesel prices reaching various levels within this narrow band. All outcomes depend solely on the single day's closing price, with no adjustments for timing or regional variations.