TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA

Science and Technology

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

Name: Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Start: 2026-06-03T14:48:05.552Z
End: 2026-09-11T11:55:00.000Z

Total volume:

$62,538

Volume 24h:

$472

62%

Liquidity:

$4,616

11%

Open interest:

$2,318

Above 4.10%

- Kalshi

Above 4.10% - Kalshi

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

Resolves Sep 11, 2026

Time left: 14d:12h:38m

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Aug 2026?

Amount

Trade on

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 14 days to resolution

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Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

Above 4.10%

Trade

95%

Yes 100¢

No 15¢

15¢

N/A

$88

$44

2w 12h

active

Above 4.00%

Trade

73%

Yes 100¢

No 15¢

15¢

N/A

$30

2w 12h

active

Above 4.30%

Trade

72%

Yes 74¢

No 44¢

18¢

N/A

19,225%

2w 12h

active

0.3%–0.5%

Trade

64%

Yes 63.9¢

No 36.2¢

0.1¢

$1,123

$26,004

0.69%

37%

N/A

5d 42m

active

Above 4.20%

Trade

54%

Yes 95¢

No 25¢

20¢

N/A

2w 12h

active

0.6%–0.8%

Trade

35%

26%

Yes 35.3¢

No 82.2¢

17.5¢

$767

$16,280

N/A

5d 42m

active

Above 4.40%

Trade

34%

Yes 52¢

No 67¢

19¢

N/A

$267

167%

$167

2w 12h

active

0.0%–0.2%

Trade

22%

15%

Yes 22.4¢

No 98.6¢

21¢

$301

$3,983

N/A

5d 42m

active

Above 4.60%

Trade

17%

Yes 17¢

No 100¢

17¢

N/A

$299

2w 12h

active

Above 4.50%

Trade

11%

Yes 28¢

No 90¢

18¢

N/A

$2,168

57%

$1,864

2w 12h

active

Above 4.80%

Trade

10%

Yes 15¢

No 100¢

15¢

N/A

$299

$100

2w 12h

active

Above 5.00%

Trade

10%

Yes 4¢

No 97¢

1¢

N/A

2w 12h

active

Above 4.90%

Trade

10%

Yes 15¢

No 100¢

15¢

N/A

2w 12h

active

Above 4.70%

Trade

Yes 14¢

No 93¢

7¢

N/A

$302

$102

2w 12h

active

<0.0%

Trade

Yes 2¢

No 99¢

1¢

$413

$1,716

23%

N/A

5d 42m

active

0.9%–1.1%

Trade

Yes 1.1¢

No 99¢

0.1¢

$605

$6,647

0.97%

N/A

5d 42m

active

1.2%–1.4%

Trade

Yes 0.5¢

No 99.9¢

0.4¢

$683

$3,253

N/A

5d 42m

active

≥1.5%

Trade

Yes 0.2¢

No 99.9¢

0.1¢

$726

$1,190

N/A

5d 42m

active

Total markets: 18

Description

This event group tracks Brazil's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate for the second quarter of 2026, measured quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). The group includes multiple markets on Polymarket assessing different GDP growth ranges, while Kalshi markets focus on Brazil's annual inflation rate thresholds for August 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamentally different underlying metrics (GDP growth vs inflation) and resolution sourcesHero tip: These markets represent entirely separate economic indicators. GDP growth reflects production changes quarter-over-quarter, while inflation measures price changes over time. Treat them as independent bets.

Critical divergence points:

Polymarket: Resolves based on Brazil’s Q2 2026 QoQ GDP growth rate reported by IBGE’s System of Quarterly National Accounts, using initial release data only. Precision to one decimal place (e.g., 0.8%).
Kalshi: Resolves based on Brazil’s annual inflation rate in August 2026, with multiple threshold markets (4.00% to 5.00%). No specific source specified beyond 'annual inflation rate'.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential thresholds for Brazil's annual inflation rate in August 2026, structured as a series of progressively higher benchmarks from 4.00% to 5.00%. Each threshold functions as an independent test: if the reported inflation rate meets or exceeds a given threshold, the corresponding market resolves affirmatively. The design creates a tiered resolution framework where higher thresholds inherently confirm the satisfaction of all lower thresholds, though each remains distinct in its specific resolution condition. This structure allows for granular assessment of inflationary pressure levels within the defined period.

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

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Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Aug 2026?

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Above 4.10%

Above 4.00%

Above 4.30%

0.3%–0.5%

Above 4.20%

0.6%–0.8%

Above 4.40%

0.0%–0.2%

Above 4.60%

Above 4.50%

Above 4.80%

Above 5.00%

Above 4.90%

Above 4.70%

<0.0%

0.9%–1.1%

1.2%–1.4%

≥1.5%

Description

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Critical divergence points:

View full platform rules

Polymarket

Kalshi

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