TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
kalshi
polymarket

Argentina Monthly Inflation - August

Total volume:
$31,638
Volume 24h:
$44
78%
Liquidity:
$6,103
20%
Open interest:
$9,595
0.04%

Above 1.4%

 - Kalshi

Above 1.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 17, 2026

Time left: 21d:01h:18m

Will Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 be above 1.4%?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 17% 21 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1.4%

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$313
0%
0%
$313
3w 1h
active
kalshi

Above 1.6%

Trade
79%
Yes 84¢No 27¢
11¢
N/A
$965
0%
2%
$673
3w 1h
active
polymarket

1.5-1.7%

Trade
57%
1%
Yes 58.2¢No 45.1¢
3.3¢
$653
$6,216
0%
102%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
68%
Yes 71.1¢No 36.1¢
Avg: 7.2¢Max: 11¢
kalshi

Above 1.8%

Trade
55%
2%
Yes 54¢No 57¢
11¢
N/A
$2,610
0.15%
59%
$1,740
3w 1h
active
polymarket

1.8-2.0%

Trade
34%
1%
Yes 35.9¢No 68.4¢
4.3¢
$963
$5,995
0.67%
61%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
44.5%
Yes 45¢No 62.7¢
Avg: 7.7¢Max: 11¢
polymarket

1.2-1.4%

Trade
13%
11%
Yes 13.3¢No 99.1¢
12.4¢
$583
$1,267
0%
197%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
kalshi

Above 2.0%

Trade
12%
Yes 18¢No 98¢
16¢
N/A
$2,004
0%
14%
$1,422
3w 1h
active
polymarket

2.1-2.3%

Trade
4%
Yes 7.5¢No 99¢
6.5¢
$804
$1,384
0%
65%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
kalshi

Above 2.4%

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$3,344
0%
0.21%
$1,549
3w 1h
active
kalshi

Above 2.2%

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,913
0%
1%
$1,776
3w 1h
active
kalshi

Above 2.8%

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,779
0%
2%
$972
3w 1h
active
kalshi

Above 2.6%

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,078
0%
5%
$1,078
3w 1h
active
polymarket

3.0%+

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$685
$638
0%
67%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Above 3.0%

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$72
0%
260%
$72
3w 1h
active
polymarket

≤1.1%

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$702
$780
0%
100%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
polymarket

2.4-2.6%

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
—
$831
$643
0%
69%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
polymarket

2.7-2.9%

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$881
$638
0%
67%
N/A
1w 6d 20h
active
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group tracks Argentina's monthly inflation rate for August 2026, comparing multiple market predictions across different platforms. The markets resolve based on the official monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported by Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same official source (INDEC) and the same precision level (one decimal place) for resolving Argentina's monthly inflation rate for August 2026.Primary resolution logic: Official INDEC Consumer Price Index report for August 2026

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the 'Variación % mensual Total nacional' figure from the INDEC release
  • Precision is limited to one decimal place as reported by INDEC
  • If no data is released by the next month's scheduled release date, the last available month's data will be used

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Data Released: If INDEC fails to release August 2026 data by the September 10, 2026 deadline, the market resolves using the last available month's data
  • Precision Limitation: All markets resolve based on the one-decimal-place figure reported by INDEC, regardless of any more precise internal calculations
Timing: Resolution occurs upon release of the INDEC Consumer Price Index report for August 2026, currently scheduled for September 10, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential thresholds of Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate for August 2026, resolving positively (Yes) if the published rate exceeds any of the specified percentage levels. Each rule establishes a distinct threshold—from 1.4% up to 3.0%—with the market resolving to Yes if the actual inflation rate surpasses the lowest threshold that has not already been met by a higher rule. This tiered structure ensures that the outcome is determined by the first threshold breached, providing a clear resolution path based on the final reported inflation figure.