TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$142,891,824

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,211,057,904

339,560

Markets across

34,155

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,672

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
opinion
kalshi
polymarket

What will Futu say during their next earnings call?

Total volume:
$5,460,038
Volume 24h:
$26,522
842%
Liquidity:
$29,104
33%
Open interest:
$30,363
159%

$2.50-$3.00T

 - Polymarket

$2.50-$3.00T - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?

36%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 36% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% High Projected APY: 1,549% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$2.50-$3.00T

Trade
36%
1%
Yes 38¢No 67¢
5¢
$4,034
$549
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$3.00-$3.50T

Trade
23%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
$3,014
$156
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$2.00-$2.50T

Trade
19%
2%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$3,312
$254
2%
51%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$3.50-$4.00T

Trade
14%
Yes 17¢No 89¢
6¢
$4,256
$226
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

<$2.00T

Trade
6%
2%
Yes 10¢No 98¢
8¢
$2,594
$176
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$4.00-$4.50T

Trade
6%
Yes 10¢No 98.9¢
8.9¢
$6,249
$160
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$4.50T+

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
$5,645
$240
30%
30%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
opinion

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.9¢
0.2¢
N/A
$5,407,099
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
kalshi

CFTC

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,870
N/A
N/A
$2,950
4mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

Australia

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,219
N/A
N/A
$1,653
4mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

Kalshi

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,370
N/A
N/A
$8,518
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

PantherTrade

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,094
N/A
N/A
$5,161
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Expert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,161
N/A
N/A
$4,203
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Staking

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,273
N/A
N/A
$2,055
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Agentic

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,812
N/A
N/A
$1,591
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Tailwind

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,481
N/A
N/A
$2,008
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Tokenized / Tokenization

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
$911
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Perp / Perpetual

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,394
N/A
N/A
$776
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Headwind

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$782
N/A
N/A
$346
4mo 5d
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
$191
4mo 5d
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This group of markets focuses on predicting Amazon's market capitalization at the end of 2026. The markets span multiple platforms and cover various market cap ranges, including thresholds at $2.00T, $2.50T, $3.00T, $3.50T, $4.00T, and $4.50T.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Amazon market cap markets resolve using the same methodology: final trading day of 2026 market cap calculated from official exchange data and share counts.Primary resolution logic: Official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts

Core resolution logic:

  • Market cap is calculated using final official regular-hours closing prices on the last trading day of 2026
  • Total shares outstanding comes from official company filings or disclosures
  • If Amazon is acquired or ceases to exist before end of 2026, use last reported market cap prior to the event
  • If market cap falls exactly on a boundary, it resolves to the higher bracket

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Company Ceases to Exist: If Amazon is acquired, merges, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of 2026, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution
  • Exact Boundary: If the determined market capitalization falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, the market will resolve to the higher bracket
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on whether specific predefined terms are uttered by any Futu Holdings representative during the earnings call, including the operator. Each market corresponds to a unique term, and resolution occurs if that exact term—or its plural or possessive form—is used. Video recordings of the call serve as the primary evidence; if consensus cannot be reached among Kalshi employees using video, official transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified form of the term. All markets share these uniform resolution procedures, ensuring consistency across outcomes.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.