TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Will Theo launch a token by January 1, 2027?

Total volume:
$17,637,617
Volume 24h:
$8,947,830
10,837%
Liquidity:
$4,841
35%
Open interest:
$13,419N/A

December 31, 2026

all

3 markets

Opinion

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

December 31, 2026

65%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 96.2¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 65% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 23% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

December 31, 2026

Trade
65%
Yes 96.2¢No 90¢
86.2¢
N/A
$8,944,639
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
35%
4%
Yes 39.5¢No 69.8¢
9.3¢
$395
$30,220
4%
26%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
32%
Yes 35¢No 71¢
6¢
$3,311
$105,697
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32.6%
Yes 56.9¢No 76.9¢
Avg: 33.8¢Max: 86.2¢
opinion

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,512,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
opinion

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,408,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
opinion

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,714,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
opinion

September 30, 2026

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,567,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
predict

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,134
$81,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
predict

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
predict

March 31, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 14

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Theo Network launching a governance token by a specific date. Currently, the consensus probability favors a launch by December 31, 2026, at 64.8%, with September 30, 2026 at 9.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, and will be resolved based on information from Theo Network, with consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on any official announcements from Theo Network regarding token launch timelines, as resolution will occur around January 1, 2027, marking the end of the betting period for these markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the launch of a transferable and tradable token by Theo Network, relying on the same primary and secondary sources.Primary resolution logic: Information from Theo Network, with consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution requires the official launch of a governance token.
  • The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable; announcements alone are not sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source is information from Theo Network.
  • A consensus of credible reporting will be used as a secondary source.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Airdrops: An airdrop of tokens, even if widely distributed, does not qualify as a launch if the tokens are not actively and publicly tradable on an exchange.
  • Testnet Tokens: Tokens launched on a testnet are not considered a launch for resolution purposes.
  • Delayed Trading: If a token is announced but trading is delayed beyond the specified resolution date, the market will resolve to 'No'.
Timing: Markets will resolve when Theo Network (or a consensus of credible reporting) confirms the official launch of a transferable and tradable governance token by the specified date and time (11:59 PM ET).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the aggregated sentiment around the possibility of Theo launching a token. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of around 34.8%%, as reflected in the combined volume of $17,637,617. This represents significant interest in this market, with $1,078 traded in the last 24 hours. The the Theo token launch market brings together forecasts from multiple sources to provide a comprehensive outlook on this event. We monitor price discovery across both venues to offer a holistic view.

Unlike traditional spot markets focused on current prices, this market reflects expectations about a future event – the launch of the Theo token. Prediction market odds, therefore, represent a probabilistic assessment of whether this launch will occur by the resolution date. These odds can diverge from any immediate price associated with related assets, as they incorporate a wider range of factors and subjective beliefs about Theo’s intentions and capabilities. The current spread between Polymarket and Predict is 2.8, indicating varying levels of confidence among traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and individual interpretations of available information. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with differing risk appetites and expertise, leading to potentially divergent price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can influence price sensitivity; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? at 34.8%, while Predict leans toward Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? at 32.0%.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Theo has officially launched a token accessible to the public, as evidenced by announcements and verifiable blockchain data. The outcome will be determined by a review of publicly available information, ensuring transparency and accuracy. This process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of whether the token launch occurred by the specified date.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from the Theo team regarding token development or launch plans would be a major catalyst. Positive or negative news coverage about Theo’s project, or developments in the broader regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected technical challenges or security breaches related to the token’s development could decrease confidence, while successful testnet launches or partnerships could increase it. Monitoring social media and developer activity will also be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.