TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

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2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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38%

VS.

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Will Perena launch a token by ___?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Will Perena launch a token by January 1, 2027?

Total volume:
$10,542,824
Volume 24h:
$5,990,237N/A
Liquidity:
$68,118
2%
Open interest:
$4,862N/A

December 31, 2026

all

3 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 49.9¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% High Projected APY: 4,573% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
26%
Yes 49.9¢No 97.2¢
47.1¢
$35,485
$41
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
8%
Yes 10¢No 94¢
4¢
$383
$35,374
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

December 31, 2026

Trade
7%
Yes 6.5¢No 99.9¢
6.4¢
N/A
$5,989,714
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.5%
Yes 22.1¢No 97¢
Avg: 19.2¢Max: 47.1¢
opinion

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,043,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
opinion

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,201,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$32,250
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
opinion

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,087,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
predict

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This group of markets asks whether Perena, a social media platform, will launch a governance token by a specified date. Resolution depends on the official launch of a publicly transferable and tradable token, not just announcements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the launch of a transferable and tradable token, and the reliance on Perena's official announcements.Primary resolution logic: Information from Perena, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves 'Yes' if Perena officially launches a governance token.
  • The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
  • Announcements alone do not qualify as a launch.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Airdrops: An airdrop of tokens, without a public exchange listing or active trading, does not constitute a launch for a 'Yes' resolution.
  • Testnet Tokens: Tokens launched on a testnet are not considered a valid launch for resolution purposes.
  • Delayed Launch: If a launch is announced before the deadline but the token is not actually tradable by the deadline, the market resolves 'No'.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon confirmation of the token launch (or lack thereof) by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Unlike traditional spot markets that reflect current value, prediction markets like this one forecast the probability of a future event. The odds in this market represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the likelihood of Perena launching a token. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading, providing a strong signal of market sentiment. While not directly comparable to a spot price, the implied probability can offer insights into expectations surrounding the project's development and potential success. A higher price suggests greater confidence in a launch occurring, and vice versa.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Perena token launch market may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to potentially divergent opinions. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? at 8.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? at 26.4%. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when assessing the overall market sentiment.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Perena has officially launched a functional token accessible for public use by that date. The outcome will be determined by examining official announcements from the Perena team, blockchain data confirming token deployment, and reputable news sources covering the launch. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of whether the event occurred as defined by the market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from the Perena team regarding token development, partnerships, or launch timelines are key catalysts. Positive news, such as successful testnet launches or regulatory approvals, would likely increase the probability of a launch and drive up prices. Conversely, negative developments, like project delays or security concerns, could decrease confidence and lower prices. Broader market trends in the crypto space, particularly regarding new token launches and regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity in this market.