TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

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62%

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Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
limitless
predict

Will Ostium launch a token by 2027-01-01?

Total volume:
$6,293
Volume 24h:
$43
99%
Liquidity:
$38,250
0.36%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

all

2 markets

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% High Projected APY: 3,817% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Trade
26%
Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢
51¢
N/A
$6,173
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
14%
Yes 24.9¢No 96.2¢
21.1¢
$38,250
$120
55%
55%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 25.2¢No 85.4¢
Avg: 36.1¢Max: 51¢
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group centers on whether Ostium Labs will launch a publicly transferable and tradable token by December 31, 2026. The markets specify that simple announcements of a token are insufficient; an actual launch with trading capabilities is required for a 'Yes' resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria and timing, focusing on a publicly tradable token launch.Primary resolution logic: Information from Ostium Labs, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Ostium Labs officially launches a token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
  • The market resolves to 'No' if no such token launch occurs by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
  • Announcements of a token launch, without actual tradability, do not qualify as a 'Yes' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Delayed Launch: If Ostium Labs announces a launch date *after* December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Technical Issues: If a token is launched but trading is immediately halted due to technical issues preventing public transferability, the resolution will depend on how long the issues persist. A brief outage may not prevent resolution to 'Yes', but prolonged issues will likely result in a 'No' resolution.
Timing: The market will be resolved as soon as there is conclusive evidence, from Ostium Labs or a consensus of credible reporting, regarding the launch (or lack thereof) of a publicly tradable token by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict and Limitless, the Ostium token launch market dashboard aggregates trading activity to provide a consensus view on whether Ostium will launch a token by the specified date. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $6,293, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the probability of a token launch. The dashboard tracks the price movements and volume on each platform, offering a comprehensive overview of the Ostium token launch market.

Unlike traditional spot markets that reflect current prices, this market represents expectations about a future event – the launch of the Ostium token. The odds here aren't directly comparable to any existing price, as the token doesn't currently trade. Instead, they reflect the probability traders assign to the event happening before Jan 1, 2027. A higher price on Predict or Limitless indicates a greater belief that Ostium will launch a token, while a lower price suggests skepticism. This forward-looking aspect distinguishes it from traditional financial instruments.

Prices on Predict and Limitless can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying risk appetites and information sets. Predict and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing trading volumes and liquidity on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Predict currently favors the outcome of a token launch at 14.4%, while Limitless leans toward no launch at 25.5%. These discrepancies present opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to profit from price differences across venues.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Ostium has publicly launched a functional token accessible for trading or use by the specified date. Any announcements or evidence of a launch will be assessed against publicly available information to determine the final result of this market. Traders should monitor official Ostium channels and reputable crypto news sources for updates leading up to resolution.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from the Ostium team regarding token development, partnerships, or launch timelines would be major catalysts. Positive news about regulatory approvals or technological advancements could increase confidence in a launch, driving up prices. Conversely, negative news, such as project delays, security concerns, or unfavorable regulatory rulings, could decrease confidence and lower prices. Monitoring Ostium’s social media, blog posts, and official communications is crucial for tracking potential market-moving events.