TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Science and Technology
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?

Total volume:
$58,071
Volume 24h:
$2,828
24%
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
$37,692
7%

Above $0.45

 - Kalshi

Above $0.45 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 28, 2026

Time left: 20h:48m:12s

Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.45 at 4 PM ET on Aug 28?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.45

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,790
21%
36%
$5,204
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.40

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,953
0%
110%
$3,774
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.30

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,265
0%
0%
$2,379
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.35

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,108
0%
0%
$2,918
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.20

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2,040
10%
10%
$1,594
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.15

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,705
0.06%
0.06%
$1,638
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.25

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,691
0%
0%
$1,502
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.50

Trade
96%
3%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$3,122
0.76%
88%
$1,594
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.55

Trade
14%
3%
Yes 15¢No 98¢
13¢
N/A
$5,212
34%
240%
$3,764
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.60

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$2,549
7%
160%
$1,875
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.75

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,844
0%
332%
$2,072
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.80

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,790
0%
277%
$2,293
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.70

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,268
0%
746%
$2,162
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $1.25

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,886
0%
42%
$1,861
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $1.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,566
0%
276%
$1,255
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $1.50

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,482
0%
2%
$1,382
20h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $0.65

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,076
15%
15%
$424
20h 48m
active
polymarket

$190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

$180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

$150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

$200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

$160

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

$140

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
limitless

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Weekly

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0¢
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

$170

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event group tracks various price thresholds for NVIDIA (NVDA) stock at different points in time, including end-of-July closing prices and specific compute value thresholds for the RTX 5090 on a future date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use clear, unambiguous criteria for resolution with consistent handling of edge cases like corporate actions, market holidays, and data gapsPrimary resolution logic: Yahoo Finance for stock price thresholds and Pyth NVDA/USD price feed for compute value thresholds

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on official closing prices or specified values at exact future dates
  • Corporate actions like stock splits are handled using split-adjusted prices
  • Market holidays and shortened trading sessions use the official closing price published for that session
  • In case of missing data, last valid prices or exchange-published prices are used

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • stock split handling: All markets resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance
  • market holiday: Uses the price from the most recent trading day before the holiday
  • data discontinuity: Uses last valid on-exchange trade price if official closing price is unavailable
Timing: All markets resolve on their specified future dates: end of July 2026 for stock price thresholds and August 28, 2026 at 4 PM ET for compute value thresholdsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour value reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on August 28, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data source are disregarded. All values are evaluated in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a distinct threshold; resolution is "Yes" if the reported value exceeds that threshold, otherwise "No".

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on July 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) captured on July 17, 2026 was $202.70999. Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVDA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVDA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.