TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
predict
polymarket

Will MetaMask launch a token by 2027?

Total volume:
$11,129,993
Volume 24h:
$1,473,088
37,195%
Liquidity:
$4,432
67%
Open interest:
$68,098N/A

December 31, 2026

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2026 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 7¢ buys you 1,429 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,429 | Net Profit: $1,329 Multiplier: 14.29x | ROI: 1,329% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
$4,432
$336,918
0.01%
0.06%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

[DELETED] - 927 - December 31

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
predict

September 30, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
—
N/A
$1,472,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
No
polymarket

September 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,050,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

December 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,182,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,154,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$932,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of MetaMask launching its own cryptocurrency token by a specified date. Currently, the consensus probability of MetaMask launching a token by December 31, 2026 is 11.5%, with a 1.2% probability of launch by September 30, 2026. This aggregated view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will be resolved based on information from MetaMask, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on any official announcements from MetaMask regarding token development, as the resolution date estimate is January 1, 2027, representing the end of the forecasting window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution criteria regarding the launch of a publicly transferable and tradable token, relying on the same primary and secondary resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Information from MetaMask, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution requires an official launch of a token by MetaMask.
  • The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable; announcements alone do not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source is information directly from MetaMask.
  • Credible reporting will be used to corroborate or clarify information from MetaMask.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Airdrops: An airdrop of a token, without subsequent public trading on exchanges, would not resolve the market to 'Yes'.
  • Testnets: A token launch on a testnet does not constitute a public launch for resolution purposes.
  • Partnerships: Announcements of partnerships related to a potential token launch do not resolve the market to 'Yes' until the token is actually launched and tradable.
Timing: Markets will resolve upon official confirmation from MetaMask (or a strong consensus of credible reporting) that a token has been launched and is actively and publicly tradable. Resolution will occur within 72 hours of the launch.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This is a market on MetaMask's official token launch date. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, the MetaMask token launch market dashboard aggregates real-time trading activity from multiple prediction markets into a single view. Currently, this market shows a combined volume of $11,129,993 with $20 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probability that MetaMask will launch a token, allowing traders to track sentiment and identify potential opportunities. This is a valuable resource for anyone interested in the short_topic and the broader crypto landscape.

Unlike traditional spot markets that reflect current prices, prediction markets like this one forecast future probabilities. The odds in this market represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the likelihood of a MetaMask token launch. These probabilities aren't directly comparable to a spot price, but they can offer insight into market expectations for a future event. A higher probability suggests greater confidence in a launch, potentially influencing related crypto assets, while lower probabilities indicate skepticism. Analyzing these odds alongside traditional financial metrics can provide a more comprehensive view.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether MetaMask officially launches a token before the resolution date. Any official announcement from the MetaMask team, supported by verifiable evidence of a token's availability for trading, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could significantly impact the odds in this market. Official announcements from the MetaMask team regarding token development or launch plans would be a major catalyst. Regulatory developments concerning crypto tokens could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about competing wallet providers or broader market trends in the DeFi space could also play a role. Positive developments would likely increase the probability of a launch, while negative news could decrease it, leading to shifts in volume and price.