TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?
polymarket

Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Jul 1, 2026, 1:07 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$69,495
Volume 24h:
$1,420
71%
Liquidity:
$3,472
9%
Open interest:
$8,211N/A

↓$6B

 - Polymarket

↓$6B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 76¢ buys you 132 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $132 | Net Profit: $32 Multiplier: 1.32x | ROI: 32% | APY: 346% Low liquidity 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓$6B

Trade
63%
9%
Yes 76¢No 51¢
27¢
$259
$4,673
7%
21%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓$5B

54%
12%
Yes 70¢No 62¢
32¢
$289
$16,209
2%
5%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$10B

47%
11%
Yes 81¢No 87¢
68¢
$110
$3,451
0%
26%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓$4B

45%
1%
Yes 72¢No 82¢
54¢
$158
$10,999
0%
0.01%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓$5.5B

40%
21%
Yes 48¢No 69¢
17¢
$113
$5,662
0%
13%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$7.5B

35%
2%
Yes 47¢No 78¢
25¢
$183
$8,668
0.58%
3%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$8B

24%
3%
Yes 44¢No 96¢
40¢
$145
$4,882
0.57%
3%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$9B

13%
1%
Yes 22¢No 97¢
19¢
$184
$4,308
0.12%
12%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$12.5B

7%
1%
Yes 7.8¢No 94.7¢
2.5¢
$1,008
$7,264
3%
86%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$15B

5%
2%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
$1,024
$3,037
7%
22%
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑$7B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Glean's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 1, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-77127aa8-38b7-4737-b764-a5024345b19b/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Glean's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 1, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-77127aa8-38b7-4737-b764-a5024345b19b/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Glean valuation market tracks the current odds of the valuation reaching the target, the price history of shares representing 'yes' and 'no' outcomes, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $1,315 and the total volume traded to date is $69,495. This allows traders to see how sentiment is shifting and gauge the market’s confidence in Glean achieving a valuation milestone. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s activity and price discovery for this specific event.

Currently, the implied probability of Glean reaching the target valuation by Jan 2, 2027 is reflected in this market's pricing on Polymarket. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on modeling and subjective assessments. Prediction markets, like this one, aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate signal based on diverse perspectives and real-time information. While analyst opinions can be valuable, the dynamic nature of this market provides a continuously updated assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Glean’s valuation will reach the specified target. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment. Higher demand for 'yes' shares drives up their price, indicating increased confidence in Glean’s valuation reaching the target, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Jan 2, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on Glean’s publicly reported valuation as of the specified date. If the valuation is at or above the target, the 'yes' shares will pay out; otherwise, the 'no' shares will. The outcome is determined by objective data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding Glean’s financial performance, such as quarterly earnings reports or new funding rounds, would likely cause price swings. Industry trends affecting the enterprise search and AI space, competitor actions, and broader macroeconomic conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Positive news regarding Glean’s customer acquisition or product development would likely increase the price of 'yes' shares, while negative developments could drive it down. Any significant shift in market perception of Glean’s growth potential could move this market.