TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Will BNB hit $1500 in 2026?
- Opinion
Will BNB hit $1500 in 2026? - Opinion
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
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This market tracks whether the price of BNB will reach $1500 at any point during 2026. Currently, the probability of BNB hitting $1500 in 2026 on Opinion is 13.0%. The market resolves based on Binance’s BNB/USDT one-minute candle “High” prices, as reported at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT. Keep an eye on BNB’s price action as we approach the end of the betting period on December 31, 2026, to see if it can sustain a high of $1500 or more within a one-minute candle.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT between January 1st, 2026, 00:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $1500 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BNB/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment on Opinion suggests a relatively low probability of BNB reaching $1500 by 2026, with the top outcome holding a chance of 13.9%. This contrasts with some analysts’ projections, which vary widely depending on their assumptions about the broader cryptocurrency market and Binance’s continued success. Spot price expectations are often based on technical analysis and short-term market trends, while this market reflects a longer-term forecast aggregated from the wisdom of the crowd. It’s important to consider both perspectives when forming your own opinion.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether BNB will exceed $1500 by 2026. The price of these contracts directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point, representing the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of market sentiment, differing from static polls or surveys.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether the price of BNB, as reported by a major cryptocurrency exchange, reaches or exceeds $1500 at any point during the year 2026. The final price will be determined based on widely available and trusted data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Major developments regarding Binance, such as regulatory changes or significant technological advancements, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader macroeconomic trends, including inflation rates and interest rate decisions, could also affect the cryptocurrency market as a whole, and thus this market. Finally, significant shifts in investor sentiment, driven by news events or social media trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.