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Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
kalshi

Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

Aug 23, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 8, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$67,957
Volume 24h:
$1,971
92%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$38,492
3%

Mike Johnson

 - Kalshi

Mike Johnson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 8, 2027

Will Mike Johnson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?

33%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 26¢ buys you 385 shares | Odds: 33% Total Payout: $385 | Net Profit: $285 Multiplier: 3.85x | ROI: 285% High Projected APY: 3,822% 133 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mike Johnson

Trade
33%
11%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
N/A
$1,593
797%
N/A
$1,074
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Jim Jordan

Trade
29%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
N/A
$69
91%
N/A
$69
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Hakeem Jeffries

Trade
13%
3%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$9,723
6%
N/A
$6,360
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Steve Scalise

Trade
10%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$4,415
0%
N/A
$3,216
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Tom Emmer

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$2,041
0%
N/A
$2,041
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Lisa McClain

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$969
0%
N/A
$501
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Pete Aguilar

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$11,016
0%
N/A
$5,033
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Katherine Clark

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$10,016
0%
N/A
$5,033
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Joe Neguse

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10,016
0%
N/A
$5,033
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Ted Lieu

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10,016
0%
N/A
$5,033
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$8,016
0%
N/A
$5,033
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Jay Obernolte

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$33
0%
N/A
$33
4mo 1w 6d
active
kalshi

Mike Lawler

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$33
0%
N/A
$33
4mo 1w 6d
active
Total markets: 13

Description

The House Minority Leader is a key leadership position chosen by the party that does not hold the majority in the House of Representatives. This election determines who will lead the opposition party in Congress for the upcoming legislative session. The outcome reflects the internal dynamics and strategic priorities of the minority party as it organizes its caucus for upcoming debates and policy discussions.

Kalshi

The resolution of each market depends on whether a specific named candidate is elected House Minority Leader by the respective party caucus or conference that forms the minority in the 120th Congress. The election outcome is determined by the vote of the minority party members within the House, and the result is certified by that party body. Once certified, any subsequent changes to the leadership position do not alter the market outcome. If the minority party selects a leader not listed among the market candidates, all markets resolve as 'No'. Markets are eligible for accelerated resolution through a consensus of media outlets confirming the election result.