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Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$86,622
Volume 24h:
$255
93%
Liquidity:
$24,285
15%
Open interest:
$8,362N/A

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:05h:44m

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

75%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 79.4¢ buys you 126 shares | Odds: 75% Total Payout: $126 | Net Profit: $26 Multiplier: 1.26x | ROI: 26% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

Trade
75%
2%
Yes 79.4¢No 29.3¢
8.7¢
$847
$17,172
1%
32%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Anthropic

Trade
23%
1%
Yes 26¢No 80¢
6¢
$1,380
$34,869
0.15%
11%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 5.2¢No 99.3¢
4.5¢
$808
$10,642
0.02%
7%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Mistral

Trade
1%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,459
$1,634
0%
14%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$1,307
$3,072
0.08%
24%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Meta

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$1,174
$4,189
0.06%
17%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Baidu

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,283
$694
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,078
$1,382
0%
9%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,274
$2,463
0%
2%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,409
$1,957
0%
5%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,203
$1,279
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,362
$1,100
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Tencent

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,400
$1,083
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Nvidia

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,085
$833
0%
7%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Meituan

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,192
$799
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Amazon

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,152
$783
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,182
$765
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

StepFun

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,243
$662
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,231
$653
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Microsoft

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,215
$593
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $255 for the Text Arena Math AI model race. It shows how traders are betting on which company will lead in this AI competition by the end of October, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

Currently, this market reflects a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While some experts highlight specific technical advantages, traders on Polymarket are pricing in a range of possibilities that includes both front-runners and dark horses. The gap between these views can shift as new benchmark results or product updates emerge before Oct 31, 2026.

On Polymarket, traders currently set the odds for the Text Arena Math AI model race through continuous bidding. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading outcome shows a top chance of 75.0%, reflecting collective expectations about which company will deliver the strongest performance by the deadline. Market depth and liquidity, measured by a 24-hour volume of $255, help determine how responsive prices are to new information or shifts in sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the company officially recognized as having the best Text Arena Math AI model by independent evaluation or widely accepted benchmarks at that time.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 31, 2026. Major product releases, research papers, or benchmark test results from competing firms often trigger rapid price changes. Analyst reports highlighting technical advantages or partnerships may also influence trader sentiment. Conversely, setbacks such as security issues or delayed timelines for leading candidates could cause odds to rebalance. Public statements from key executives or regulatory updates impacting AI development timelines will remain important catalysts to watch.