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$142,857,652

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2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

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35,811

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MATCHED EVENTS:

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Which company has the best AI model end of November?
predict
opinion
polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM EST - Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$437,042
Volume 24h:
$7,455
69%
Liquidity:
$193,982
9%
Open interest:
$62,346N/A

Anthropic

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 30, 2026

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

46%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 46% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful 34 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

Trade
46%
1%
Yes 47¢No 55¢
2¢
$6,700
$79,235
2%
23%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Anthropic

46%
Yes 46.5¢No 54.9¢
1.4¢
$11,616
$6,951
0%
7%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
opinion

Anthropic

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
46%
Yes 46.8¢No 55¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Google

45%
4%
Yes 47¢No 57¢
4¢
$5,079
$84,420
5%
37%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Google

45%
2%
Yes 47.6¢No 57.9¢
5.5¢
$10,534
$3,301
11%
34%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
opinion

Google

N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
45%
Yes 47.3¢No 57.5¢
Avg: 5.8¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

OpenAI

4%
Yes 4.1¢No 97¢
1.1¢
$6,800
$30,515
2%
22%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

OpenAI

3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$11,035
$329
0%
1,545%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.5¢No 97.1¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1.1¢
polymarket

Meta

3%
1%
Yes 4.6¢No 98.6¢
3.2¢
$3,736
$33,357
0%
22%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Meta

N/A
N/A
—
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 4.6¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 3.2¢Max: 3.2¢
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.6¢
0.2¢
$5,458
$23,524
2%
22%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Z.ai

N/A
N/A
2.6¢
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 2.6¢
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$11,663
$28,404
0%
24%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

SpaceXAI

N/A
N/A
—
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$4,888
$21,885
0%
22%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Alibaba

N/A
N/A
—
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$4,421
$25,921
0.97%
19%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Moonshot

N/A
N/A
—
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$10,420
$44,696
0%
31%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

DeepSeek

N/A
N/A
—
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$11,071
$20,333
0%
52%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Xiaomi

N/A
N/A
—
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$9,577
$5,527
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
predict

Baidu

N/A
N/A
—
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$10,163
$5,446
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Predict

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".